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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-020-00967-7 |
Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continent | |
Roslin T.; Ant?o L.; H?llfors M.; Meyke E.; Lo C.; Tikhonov G.; Delgado M.M.; Gurarie E.; Abadonova M.; Abduraimov O.; Adrianova O.; Akimova T.; Akkiev M.; Ananin A.; Andreeva E.; Andriychuk N.; Antipin M.; Arzamascev K.; Babina S.; Babushkin M.; Bakin O.; Barabancova A.; Basilskaja I.; Belova N.; Belyaeva N.; Bespalova T.; Bisikalova E.; Bobretsov A.; Bobrov V.; Bobrovskyi V.; Bochkareva E.; Bogdanov G.; Bolshakov V.; Bondarchuk S.; Bukharova E.; Butunina A.; Buyvolov Y.; Buyvolova A.; Bykov Y.; Chakhireva E.; Chashchina O.; Cherenkova N.; Chistjakov S.; Chuhontseva S.; Davydov E.A.; Demchenko V.; Diadicheva E.; Dobrolyubov A.; Dostoyevskaya L.; Drovnina S.; Drozdova Z.; Dubanaev A.; Dubrovsky Y.; Elsukov S.; Epova L.; Ermakova O.; Ermakova O.S.; Ershkova E.; Esengeldenova A.; Evstigneev O.; Fedchenko I.; Fedotova V.; Filatova T.; Gashev S.; Gavrilov A.; Gaydysh I.; Golovcov D.; Goncharova N.; Gorbunova E.; Gordeeva T.; Grishchenko V.; Gromyko L.; Hohryakov V.; Hritankov A.; Ignatenko E.; Igosheva S.; Ivanova U.; Ivanova N.; Kalinkin Y.; Kaygorodova E.; Kazansky F.; Kiseleva D.; Knorre A.; Kolpashikov L.; Korobov E.; Korolyova H.; Korotkikh N.; Kosenkov G.; Kossenko S.; Kotlugalyamova E.; Kozlovsky E.; Kozsheechkin V.; Kozurak A.; Kozyr I.; Krasnopevtseva A.; Kruglikov S.; Kuberskaya O.; Kudryavtsev A.; Kulebyakina E.; Kulsha Y.; Kupriyanova M.; Kurbanbagamaev M.; Kutenkov A.; Kutenkova N.; Kuyantseva N.; Kuznetsov A.; Larin E.; Lebedev P.; Litvinov K.; Luzhkova N.; Mahmudov A.; Makovkina L.; Mamontov V.; Mayorova S.; Megalinskaja I.; Meydus A.; Minin A.; Mitrofanov O.; Motruk M.; Myslenkov A.; Nasonova N.; Nemtseva N.; Nesterova I.; Nezdoliy T.; Niroda T.; Novikova T.; Panicheva D.; Pavlov A.; Pavlova K.; Podolski S.; Polikarpova N.; Polyanskaya T.; Pospelov I.; Pospelova E.; Prokhorov I.; Prokosheva I.; Puchnina L.; Putrashyk I.; Raiskaya J.; Rozhkov Y.; Rozhkova O.; Rudenko M.; Rybnikova I.; Rykova S.; Sahnevich M.; Samoylov A.; Sanko V.; Sapelnikova I.; Sazonov S.; Selyunina Z.; Shalaeva K.; Shashkov M.; Shcherbakov A.; Shevchyk V.; Shubin S.; Shujskaja E.; Sibgatullin R.; Sikkila N.; Sitnikova E.; Sivkov A.; Skok N.; Skorokhodova S.; Smirnova E.; Sokolova G.; Sopin V.; Spasovski Y.; Stepanov S.; Stratiy V.; Strekalovskaya V.; Sukhov A.; Suleymanova G.; Sultangareeva L.; Teleganova V.; Teplov V.; Teplova V.; Tertitsa T.; Timoshkin V.; Tirski D.; Tolmachev A.; Tomilin A.; Tselishcheva L.; Turgunov M.; Tyukh Y.; Van P.; Van V.; Vasin A.; Vasina A.; Vekliuk A.; Vetchinnikova L.; Vinogradov V.; Volodchenkov N.; Voloshina I.; Xoliqov T.; Yablonovska-Grishchenko E.; Yakovlev V.; Yakovleva M.; Yantser O.; Yarema Y.; Zahvatov A.; Zakharov V.; Zelenetskiy N.; Zheltukhin A.; Zubina T.; Kurhinen J.; Ovaskainen O. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 1758678X |
起始页码 | 241 |
结束页码 | 248 |
卷号 | 11期号:3 |
英文摘要 | Ongoing climate change can shift organism phenology in ways that vary depending on species, habitats and climate factors studied. To probe for large-scale patterns in associated phenological change, we use 70,709 observations from six decades of systematic monitoring across the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Among 110 phenological events related to plants, birds, insects, amphibians and fungi, we find a mosaic of change, defying simple predictions of earlier springs, later autumns and stronger changes at higher latitudes and elevations. Site mean temperature emerged as a strong predictor of local phenology, but the magnitude and direction of change varied with trophic level and the relative timing of an event. Beyond temperature-associated variation, we uncover high variation among both sites and years, with some sites being characterized by disproportionately long seasons and others by short ones. Our findings emphasize concerns regarding ecosystem integrity and highlight the difficulty of predicting climate change outcomes. ? 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | bird; climate change; ecosystem approach; fungus; monitoring; phenology; probe; trophic level; USSR; Amphibia; Hexapoda |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/178784 |
作者单位 | Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; EarthCape OY, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Computer Science, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland; Research Unit of Biodiversity (UMIB, UO-CSIC-PA), Oviedo University, Mieres, Spain; 3237 Biology-Psychology Building, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; National Park Orlovskoe Polesie, Oryol, Russian Federation; Institute of Botany, Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Tashkent, Uzbekistan; Kostomuksha Nature Reserve, Kostomuksha, Russian Federation; Altai State Nature Biosphere Reserve, Gorno-Altaysk, Russian Federation; Kabardino-Balkarski Nature Reserve, Kashkhatau, Russian Federation; FSE Zapovednoe Podlemorye, Ust-Bargizin, Russian Federation; Institute of General and Experimental Biology, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ulan-Ude, Russian Federation; State Nature Reserve Stolby, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation; Carpathian Biosp... |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Roslin T.,Ant?o L.,H?llfors M.,et al. Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continent[J],2021,11(3). |
APA | Roslin T..,Ant?o L..,H?llfors M..,Meyke E..,Lo C..,...&Ovaskainen O..(2021).Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continent.Nature Climate Change,11(3). |
MLA | Roslin T.,et al."Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continent".Nature Climate Change 11.3(2021). |
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