气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-021-01000-1
	Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth
	Ortiz-Bobea A.; Ault T.R.; Carrillo C.M.; Chambers R.G.; Lobell D.B.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758678X
起始页码	306
结束页码	312
卷号	11 期号:4
英文摘要	Agricultural research has fostered productivity growth, but the historical influence of anthropogenic climate change (ACC) on that growth has not been quantified. We develop a robust econometric model of weather effects on global agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) and combine this model with counterfactual climate scenarios to evaluate impacts of past climate trends on TFP. Our baseline model indicates that ACC has reduced global agricultural TFP by about 21% since 1961, a slowdown that is equivalent to losing the last 7 years of productivity growth. The effect is substantially more severe (a reduction of ~26–34%) in warmer regions such as Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean. We also find that global agriculture has grown more vulnerable to ongoing climate change. ? 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited part of Springer Nature.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	agricultural production; anthropogenic effect; climate change; factor productivity; global perspective; paleoclimate; spatiotemporal analysis; total factor productivity; Africa; Latin America
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/178759
作者单位	Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States; Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States; Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Maryland – College Park, College Park, MD, United States; Department of Earth System Science and Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ortiz-Bobea A.,Ault T.R.,Carrillo C.M.,et al. Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth[J],2021,11(4).
APA	Ortiz-Bobea A.,Ault T.R.,Carrillo C.M.,Chambers R.G.,&Lobell D.B..(2021).Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth.Nature Climate Change,11(4).
MLA	Ortiz-Bobea A.,et al."Anthropogenic climate change has slowed global agricultural productivity growth".Nature Climate Change 11.4(2021).