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DOI | 10.1038/s41612-019-0095-3 |
Causes of large projected increases in hurricane precipitation rates with global warming | |
Liu M.; Vecchi G.A.; Smith J.A.; Knutson T.R. | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
ISSN | 23973722 |
卷号 | 2期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Recent climate modeling studies point to an increase in tropical cyclone rainfall rates in response to climate warming. These studies indicate that the percentage increase in tropical cyclone rainfall rates often outpaces the increase in saturation specific humidity expected from the Clausius-Clapeyron relation (~7% °C−1). We explore the change in tropical cyclone rainfall rates over all oceans under global warming using a high-resolution climate model with the ability to simulate the entire intensity spectrum of tropical cyclones. Consistent with previous results, we find a robust increase of tropical cyclone rainfall rates. The percentage increase for inner-core tropical cyclone rainfall rates in our model is markedly larger than the Clausius-Clapeyron rate. However, when the impact of storm intensity is excluded, the rainfall rate increase shows a much better match with the Clausius-Clapeyron rate, suggesting that the “super Clausius-Clapeyron” scaling of rainfall rates with temperature increase is due to the warming-induced increase of tropical cyclone intensity. The increase of tropical cyclone intensity and environmental water vapor, in combination, explain the tropical cyclone rainfall rate increase under global warming. © 2019, The Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | climate modeling; global warming; hurricane; precipitation (climatology); precipitation intensity; tropical cyclone; water vapor |
来源期刊 | npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/178094 |
作者单位 | Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Geosciences and Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA, Princeton, NJ, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu M.,Vecchi G.A.,Smith J.A.,et al. Causes of large projected increases in hurricane precipitation rates with global warming[J],2019,2(1). |
APA | Liu M.,Vecchi G.A.,Smith J.A.,&Knutson T.R..(2019).Causes of large projected increases in hurricane precipitation rates with global warming.npj Climate and Atmospheric Science,2(1). |
MLA | Liu M.,et al."Causes of large projected increases in hurricane precipitation rates with global warming".npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 2.1(2019). |
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