气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): A reconstructed total precipitation framework

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41612-019-0090-8
	A reconstructed total precipitation framework
	Igel M.R.; Biello J.A.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	23973722
卷号	2 期号:1
英文摘要	Climate change is expected to alter the statistical properties of precipitation. There are two related but consequentially distinct theories for changes to precipitation that have received some consensus: (1) the time-and-space integrated global total precipitation should increase with longwave cooling as the surface warms, (2) the most intense precipitation rates should increase at a faster rate related to the increase in vapor saturation. Herein, these two expectations are combined with an analytic integration of three conceptually independent properties of the tropical hydrological cycle, the intensity, probability, and frequency of precipitation. The total precipitation in both a cloud-resolving model and tropical Global Precipitation Measurement mission data is decomposed and reconstructed with the analytic integral. By applying (1) and (2) to the precipitation characteristics from the model and observations to form a warming proxy model, it is suggested that a wide range of future distributions of precipitation intensity, probability, and frequency are possible. © 2019, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; cooling; hydrological cycle; precipitation (climatology); probability; reconstruction; spatiotemporal analysis
来源期刊	npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/178070
作者单位	Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States; Department of Mathematics, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Igel M.R.,Biello J.A.. A reconstructed total precipitation framework[J],2019,2(1).
APA	Igel M.R.,&Biello J.A..(2019).A reconstructed total precipitation framework.npj Climate and Atmospheric Science,2(1).
MLA	Igel M.R.,et al."A reconstructed total precipitation framework".npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 2.1(2019).