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DOI10.1038/s41612-020-00131-0
Historical total ozone radiative forcing derived from CMIP6 simulations
Skeie R.B.; Myhre G.; Hodnebrog Ø.; Cameron-Smith P.J.; Deushi M.; Hegglin M.I.; Horowitz L.W.; Kramer R.J.; Michou M.; Mills M.J.; Olivié D.J.L.; Connor F.M.O.; Paynter D.; Samset B.H.; Sellar A.; Shindell D.; Takemura T.; Tilmes S.; Wu T.
发表日期2020
ISSN23973722
卷号3期号:1
英文摘要Radiative forcing (RF) time series for total ozone from 1850 up to the present day are calculated based on historical simulations of ozone from 10 climate models contributing to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). In addition, RF is calculated for ozone fields prepared as an input for CMIP6 models without chemistry schemes and from a chemical transport model simulation. A radiative kernel for ozone is constructed and used to derive the RF. The ozone RF in 2010 (2005–2014) relative to 1850 is 0.35 W m−2 [0.08–0.61] (5–95% uncertainty range) based on models with both tropospheric and stratospheric chemistry. One of these models has a negative present-day total ozone RF. Excluding this model, the present-day ozone RF increases to 0.39 W m−2 [0.27–0.51] (5–95% uncertainty range). The rest of the models have RF close to or stronger than the RF time series assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in the fifth assessment report with the primary driver likely being the new precursor emissions used in CMIP6. The rapid adjustments beyond stratospheric temperature are estimated to be weak and thus the RF is a good measure of effective radiative forcing. © 2020, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词atmospheric chemistry; climate modeling; CMIP; ozone; radiative forcing; stratosphere; troposphere
来源期刊npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/178033
作者单位CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway; Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, California, United States; Meteorological Research Institute (MRI), Tsukuba, Japan; Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States; Climate and Radiation Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, United States; Universities Space Research Association, 7178 Columbia Gateway Drive, Columbia, MD 21046, United States; CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo‐France, CNRS, Toulouse, France; Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway; Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom; Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States; Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan; Beijing Climat...
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Skeie R.B.,Myhre G.,Hodnebrog Ø.,et al. Historical total ozone radiative forcing derived from CMIP6 simulations[J],2020,3(1).
APA Skeie R.B..,Myhre G..,Hodnebrog Ø..,Cameron-Smith P.J..,Deushi M..,...&Wu T..(2020).Historical total ozone radiative forcing derived from CMIP6 simulations.npj Climate and Atmospheric Science,3(1).
MLA Skeie R.B.,et al."Historical total ozone radiative forcing derived from CMIP6 simulations".npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 3.1(2020).
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