气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Seasonal to multi-year soil moisture drought forecasting

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41612-021-00172-z
	Seasonal to multi-year soil moisture drought forecasting
	Esit M.; Kumar S.; Pandey A.; Lawrence D.M.; Rangwala I.; Yeager S.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	23973722
卷号	4 期号:1
英文摘要	Soil moisture predictability on seasonal to decadal (S2D) continuum timescales over North America is examined from the Community Earth System Modeling (CESM) experiments. The effects of ocean and land initializations are disentangled using two large ensemble datasets—initialized and uninitialized experiments from the CESM. We find that soil moisture has significant predictability on S2D timescales despite limited predictability in precipitation. On sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales, precipitation variability is an order of magnitude greater than soil moisture, suggesting land surface processes, including soil moisture memory, reemergence, land–atmosphere interactions, transform a less predictable precipitation signal into a more predictable soil moisture signal. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	data set; decadal variation; drought; ensemble forecasting; precipitation assessment; prediction; seasonal variation; soil moisture; North America
来源期刊	npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/177997
作者单位	Earth System Science Program, School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States; Department of Hydrology, Gaziantep University, Gaziantep, Turkey; Center for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi, India; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States; North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Esit M.,Kumar S.,Pandey A.,et al. Seasonal to multi-year soil moisture drought forecasting[J],2021,4(1).
APA	Esit M.,Kumar S.,Pandey A.,Lawrence D.M.,Rangwala I.,&Yeager S..(2021).Seasonal to multi-year soil moisture drought forecasting.npj Climate and Atmospheric Science,4(1).
MLA	Esit M.,et al."Seasonal to multi-year soil moisture drought forecasting".npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 4.1(2021).