气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The gnat and the bull: Do climate outlook forums make a difference?

CCPortal

DOI	10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0008.1
	The gnat and the bull: Do climate outlook forums make a difference?
	Gerlak A.K.; Mason S.J.; Daly M.; Liverman D.; Guido Z.; Soares M.B.; Vaughan C.; Knudson C.; Greene C.; Buizer J.; Jacobs K.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	00030007
起始页码	E771
结束页码	E784
卷号	101 期号:6
英文摘要	Little has been documented about the benefits and impacts of the recent growth in climate services, despite a growing call to justify their value and stimulate investment. Regional Climate Outlook Forums (RCOFs), an integral part of the public and private enterprise of climate services, have been implemented over the last 20 years with the objectives of producing and disseminating seasonal climate forecasts to inform improved climate risk management and adaptation. In proposing guidance on how to measure the success of RCOFs, we offer three broad evaluative categories that are based on the primary stated goals of the RCOFs: 1) quality of the climate information used and developed at RCOFs; 2) legitimacy of RCOF processes focused on consensus forecasts, broad user engagement, and capacity building; and 3) usability of the climate information produced at RCOFs. Evaluating the quality of information relies largely on quantitative measures and statistical techniques that are standardized and transferrable, but assessing the RCOF processes and perceived usability of RCOF products will necessitate a combination of quantitative and qualitative social science methods that are sensitive to highly variable regional contexts. As RCOFs have taken up different formats and procedures to adapt to diverse institutional and political settings and varied technical and scientific capacities, objective evaluation methods adopted should align with the goals and intent of the evaluation and be performed in a participatory, coproduction manner where producers and users of climate services together design the evaluation metrics and processes. To fully capture the potential benefits of the RCOFs, it may be necessary to adjust or recalibrate the goals of these forums to better fit the evolving landscape of climate services development, needs, and provision. © 2020 American Meteorological Society.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Earth atmosphere; Meteorology; Climate outlook forums; Objective evaluation; Public and private enterprise; Quality of information; Quantitative measures; Seasonal climate forecast; Services development; Statistical techniques; Risk management
来源期刊	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/177878
作者单位	School of Geography and Development, Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Earth Institute, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; Department of Environmental Studies, University of New England, Biddeford, ME, United States; School of Geography and Development, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; Institute for the Environment, School of Natural Resources and Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy, Sustainability Research Institute, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; University of Hawai'i at Hilo, Hilo, HI, United States; Institute for the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; Center for Climate Adaptation Science and Solutions, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gerlak A.K.,Mason S.J.,Daly M.,et al. The gnat and the bull: Do climate outlook forums make a difference?[J],2020,101(6).
APA	Gerlak A.K..,Mason S.J..,Daly M..,Liverman D..,Guido Z..,...&Jacobs K..(2020).The gnat and the bull: Do climate outlook forums make a difference?.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,101(6).
MLA	Gerlak A.K.,et al."The gnat and the bull: Do climate outlook forums make a difference?".Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 101.6(2020).