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DOI | 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0174.1 |
A simple strategy to communicate about climate attribution | |
Dryden R.; Morgan M.G. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 00030007 |
起始页码 | E949 |
结束页码 | E953 |
卷号 | 101期号:6 |
英文摘要 | Hurricane Harvey and other recent weather extremes stimulated extensive public discourse about the role of anthropogenic climate change in amplifying, or otherwise modifying, such events. In tandem, the scientific community has made considerable progress on statistical "climate attribution."However, explaining these statistical methods to the public has posed challenges. Using appropriately designed "spinner boards,"we find that even members of the general public who do not understand the difference between weather and climate are readily able to understand basic concepts of attribution and explain those concepts to others. This includes both understanding and explaining the way in which the probability of an extreme weather event may increase as a result of climate change and explaining how the intensity of hurricanes can be increased. If properly developed and used by TV weather forecasters and news reporters, this method holds the potential to significantly improve public understanding of climate attribution. © 2020 American Meteorological Society. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Hurricanes; Anthropogenic climate changes; Basic concepts; Extreme weather events; General publics; News reporters; Public understanding; Scientific community; Weather extremes; Climate change |
来源期刊 | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/177852 |
作者单位 | Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, RAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, PA, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dryden R.,Morgan M.G.. A simple strategy to communicate about climate attribution[J],2020,101(6). |
APA | Dryden R.,&Morgan M.G..(2020).A simple strategy to communicate about climate attribution.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,101(6). |
MLA | Dryden R.,et al."A simple strategy to communicate about climate attribution".Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 101.6(2020). |
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