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DOI10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0257.1
NOAA's sensing hazards with operational unmanned technology (SHOUT) experiment observations and forecast impacts
Wick G.A.; Dunion J.P.; Black P.G.; Walker J.R.; Torn R.D.; Kren A.C.; Aksoy A.; Christophersen H.; Cucurull L.; Dahl B.; English J.M.; Friedman K.; Peevey T.R.; Sellwood K.; Sippel J.A.; Tallapragada V.; Taylor J.; Wang H.; Hood R.E.; Hall P.
发表日期2020
ISSN00030007
起始页码E968
结束页码E987
卷号101期号:7
英文摘要The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Sensing Hazards with Operational Unmanned Technology (SHOUT) project evaluated the ability of observations from high-altitude unmanned aircraft to improve forecasts of high-impact weather events like tropical cyclones or mitigate potential degradation of forecasts in the event of a future gap in satellite coverage. During three field campaigns conducted in 2015 and 2016, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Global Hawk, instrumented with GPS dropwindsondes and remote sensors, flew 15 missions sampling 6 tropical cyclones and 3 winter storms. Missions were designed using novel techniques to target sampling regions where high model forecast uncertainty and a high sensitivity to additional observations existed. Data from the flights were examined in real time by operational forecasters, assimilated in operational weather forecast models, and applied postmission to a broad suite of data impact studies. Results from the analyses spanning different models and assimilation schemes, though limited in number, consistently demonstrate the potential for a positive forecast impact from the observations, both with and without a gap in satellite coverage. The analyses with the then-operational modeling system demonstrated large forecast improvements near 15% for tropical cyclone track at a 72-h lead time when the observations were added to the otherwise complete observing system. While future decisions regarding use of the Global Hawk platform will include budgetary considerations, and more observations are required to enhance statistical significance, the scientific results support the potential merit of the observations. This article provides an overview of the missions flown, observational approach, and highlights from the completed and ongoing data impact studies. © 2020 American Meteorological Society.
语种英语
scopus关键词Budget control; Hazards; Hurricanes; NASA; Remote sensing; Storms; Tropics; Budgetary considerations; Forecast improvements; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's; Operational forecasters; Scientific results; Statistical significance; Unmanned aircrafts; Weather forecast models; Weather forecasting
来源期刊Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/177848
作者单位NOAA/Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States; Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, United States; I.M. Systems Group, Inc., College Park, MD, United States; Cherokee Nation Strategic Programs, Huntsville, AL, United States; Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY, United States; Hurricane Research Division, NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, United States; Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, NOAA/Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States; Environmental Modeling Center, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD, United States; NOAA/Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States; RIK...
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Wick G.A.,Dunion J.P.,Black P.G.,et al. NOAA's sensing hazards with operational unmanned technology (SHOUT) experiment observations and forecast impacts[J],2020,101(7).
APA Wick G.A..,Dunion J.P..,Black P.G..,Walker J.R..,Torn R.D..,...&Hall P..(2020).NOAA's sensing hazards with operational unmanned technology (SHOUT) experiment observations and forecast impacts.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,101(7).
MLA Wick G.A.,et al."NOAA's sensing hazards with operational unmanned technology (SHOUT) experiment observations and forecast impacts".Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 101.7(2020).
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