气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): China's non-fossil energy development and its 2030 CO2 reduction targets: The role of urbanization

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114353
	China's non-fossil energy development and its 2030 CO2 reduction targets: The role of urbanization
	Zhang X.; Geng Y.; Shao S.; Wilson J.; Song X.; You W.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	3062619
卷号	261
英文摘要	China has pledged to peak its carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and lower its CO2 intensity by 60–65% from the 2005 level by 2030. Understanding the role of energy structural adjustment in achieving such targets is critical along with China's rapid urbanization process. This study aims to uncover the drivers of China's non-fossil energy development during 1990–2016, and conduct scenarios and probability analyses of different energy consumption and CO2 emission trajectories until 2050. Results show that economic scale plays a key role with urbanization identified as an essential factor in driving non-fossil energy development. The consumption of fossil fuels will continue to increase with rapid urbanization, leading to higher CO2 emissions. China will only achieve the 2030 targets if energy structural adjustment is completed on schedule. Under the current policies, CO2 emissions may peak between 2030 and 2032, while CO2 intensity will decrease. Such findings provide valuable insights and suggest that China should achieve low carbon transition through energy structural adjustment, while taking urbanization as an opportunity. Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	China; CO2 emissions; Energy structural adjustment; Governance; Non-fossil energy development; Urbanization
scopus关键词	Energy utilization; Fossil fuels; Sustainable development; China; CO2 emissions; Energy structural adjustment; Governance; Non-fossil energies; Urbanization; Carbon dioxide; carbon emission; economic activity; emission control; energy efficiency; energy use; governance approach; structural adjustment; trajectory; urbanization; China
来源期刊	Applied Energy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176957
作者单位	School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200240, China; School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200240, China; China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200240, China; Shanghai Institute of Pollution Control and Ecological Security, Shanghai, 200092, China; School of Urban and Regional Science, Institute of Finance and Economics Research, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, 200433, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang X.,Geng Y.,Shao S.,et al. China's non-fossil energy development and its 2030 CO2 reduction targets: The role of urbanization[J],2020,261.
APA	Zhang X.,Geng Y.,Shao S.,Wilson J.,Song X.,&You W..(2020).China's non-fossil energy development and its 2030 CO2 reduction targets: The role of urbanization.Applied Energy,261.
MLA	Zhang X.,et al."China's non-fossil energy development and its 2030 CO2 reduction targets: The role of urbanization".Applied Energy 261(2020).