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DOI10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001279
Expected Benefits of Laos' Hydropower Development Curbed by Hydroclimatic Variability and Limited Transmission Capacity: Opportunities to Reform
Chowdhury A.F.M.K.; Dang T.D.; Bagchi A.; Galelli S.
发表日期2020
ISSN7339496
卷号146期号:10
英文摘要Massive investments in hydropower are transforming several river basins across the world - especially in developing countries, where hydroelectricity is often seen as a means to sustain economic growth. While the environmental alterations caused by these projects have been well addressed in the scientific literature, less is known about their actual performance, which could be affected by water availability or the uncoordinated planning of the power generation and transmission facilities. To fill in this gap, we developed a novel water-energy modeling framework that relies on a macroscale semidistributed hydrologic model and a unit commitment model that schedules and dispatches electricity from hydropower reservoirs and other energy sources. The framework is applied to Laos, which has recently attracted large investments in the hydropower sector, making it the so-called Battery of Asia. Simulation results over a 10-year period show that the energy system heavily relies on thermal power during the pre-monsoon months; a condition that is exacerbated by the dry spells caused by El Niño events. During the driest years, the annual generation costs and carbon dioxide emissions could increase by more than 20%. On the other hand, monsoon rainfalls largely increase the available hydropower, whose dispatch is severely limited by the capacity of the high-voltage transmission facilities. In the latter part of the analysis, we discuss the opportunities to improve system performance, and show how the capacity expansion of just a few transmission lines could ease the redistribution of hydroelectricity during peak-production periods. © 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
英文关键词Climate variability; Hydropower; Laos; Mekong River Basin; Water-energy nexus
scopus关键词Atmospheric thermodynamics; Carbon dioxide; Developing countries; Economics; Global warming; Investments; Reservoirs (water); Transmissions; Carbon dioxide emissions; High voltage transmissions; Hydro-power development; Hydroclimatic variability; Hydropower reservoirs; Power generation and transmission; Semi-distributed hydrologic models; Transmission capacities; Hydroelectric power; climate variation; economic growth; electricity generation; energy management; energy policy; hydroelectric power; power generation; sustainable development; Laos
来源期刊Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176790
作者单位Pillar of Engineering Systems and Design, Singapore Univ. of Technology and Design, 8 Somapah Rd., Singapore, 487372, Singapore; School of Electronics, Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Queen's Univ., Belfast, BT9 5BN, United Kingdom
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Chowdhury A.F.M.K.,Dang T.D.,Bagchi A.,et al. Expected Benefits of Laos' Hydropower Development Curbed by Hydroclimatic Variability and Limited Transmission Capacity: Opportunities to Reform[J],2020,146(10).
APA Chowdhury A.F.M.K.,Dang T.D.,Bagchi A.,&Galelli S..(2020).Expected Benefits of Laos' Hydropower Development Curbed by Hydroclimatic Variability and Limited Transmission Capacity: Opportunities to Reform.Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management,146(10).
MLA Chowdhury A.F.M.K.,et al."Expected Benefits of Laos' Hydropower Development Curbed by Hydroclimatic Variability and Limited Transmission Capacity: Opportunities to Reform".Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 146.10(2020).
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