气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): CO2 emissions from urban buildings at the city scale: System dynamic projections and potential mitigation policies

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DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115546
	CO2 emissions from urban buildings at the city scale: System dynamic projections and potential mitigation policies
	Liu P.; Lin B.; Zhou H.; Wu X.; Little J.C.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	3062619
卷号	277
英文摘要	To reduce energy-related CO2 emissions from the urban building sector, multiple diverse energy efficiency policies are often simultaneously implemented by different government entities. Thus, evaluating and quantifying the effects of these policies are important for improving their efficacy and prioritizing them. In this paper, a projection of the long-term CO2 emissions from city-scale urban buildings whose energy use and construction are governed by multiple diverse policies is presented. A system dynamics (SD) model is established to simulate the causal path through which different policies directly and indirectly affect the energy use of and CO2 emissions from buildings in the urban building stock, and the model is applied to Beijing, China. The results show that under the existing set of policies, the primary energy use by urban buildings in Beijing will peak around 2025 and that energy-related CO2 emissions will peak around 2022. The model also reveals interference between the policy for promoting green building construction and the policy limiting the urban building stock area. Targeted measures for improving and prioritizing these policies are suggested, and implications for policy design and implementations are proposed. The framework developed in this study can be used not only to project long-term energy-related emissions from building sectors but also to evaluate the effects of policies on emissions. Suggestions for adapting the model to more general cases are provided. © 2020
英文关键词	CO2 emissions; Green building; Policy assessment; System dynamics; Urban building
scopus关键词	Buildings; Carbon dioxide; Construction; Beijing , China; Building sectors; Energy efficiency policies; Energy-related emissions; Government entities; Mitigation policies; Primary energy use; System Dynamics; Energy efficiency; building; building construction; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; emission control; energy efficiency; energy use; environmental policy; governance approach; policy implementation; prioritization; urban area; Beijing [China]; China
来源期刊	Applied Energy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176757
作者单位	Department of Management Science and Engineering, School of Business, Shandong University, Weihai, 264209, China; Department of Building Science and Technology, School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Key Laboratory of Eco Planning & Green Building, Ministry of Education, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Architectural Design and Research Institute of Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu P.,Lin B.,Zhou H.,et al. CO2 emissions from urban buildings at the city scale: System dynamic projections and potential mitigation policies[J],2020,277.
APA	Liu P.,Lin B.,Zhou H.,Wu X.,&Little J.C..(2020).CO2 emissions from urban buildings at the city scale: System dynamic projections and potential mitigation policies.Applied Energy,277.
MLA	Liu P.,et al."CO2 emissions from urban buildings at the city scale: System dynamic projections and potential mitigation policies".Applied Energy 277(2020).