气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Exploring the driving forces and reduction potential of industrial energy-related CO 2 emissions during 2001-2030: A case study for Henan Province; China

CCPortal

DOI	10.3390/su11041176
	Exploring the driving forces and reduction potential of industrial energy-related CO 2 emissions during 2001-2030: A case study for Henan Province; China
	Liu L.; Wang K.; Wang S.; Zhang R.; Tang X.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	20711050
卷号	11 期号:4
英文摘要	In China, the industrial sector is the main contributor to economic development and CO 2 emissions, especially for the developing regional provinces. This study employs the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) approach to decompose industrial energy-related CO 2 emission into eight factors during 2001-2015 for Henan Province. Furthermore, the future CO 2 emissions under different scenarios (Business as Usual (BAU), Efficiency Improvement (EI), Structural Optimization (SO), R & D Input (RD), and Comprehensive Policy (CP) scenarios) over 2016-2030 are projected. The results indicate that among these factors, the economic output, R & D intensity, investment intensity, and energy structure are the drivers for increasing CO 2 emissions over the entire period, with the contribution of 293, 83, 80, and 1% of the total CO 2 emissions changes, respectively. Conversely, the energy intensity, R & D efficiency, and industrial internal structure can decrease CO 2 emissions with contributions of -86, -163, and -108% to the changes, respectively. Under the five scenarios, CO 2 emissions in 2030 will reach 1222, 1079, 793, 987, and 638 Mt with an annual growth rate of 4.7%, 3.8%, 1.8%, 3.3%, and 0.4%, respectively. In particular, the CO 2 emission peak for SO and CP scenarios is observed before 2030. Finally, some policy implications are suggested to further mitigate industrial emissions. by the authors.
英文关键词	China; CO 2 mitigation potential; Henan Province; Industrial sector; LMDI decomposition; Scenario analysis
scopus关键词	carbon dioxide; carbon emission; decomposition analysis; economic development; emission control; environmental economics; growth rate; industrial emission; industrial location; scenario analysis; China; Henan
来源期刊	Sustainability (Switzerland)
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176503
作者单位	College of Chemistry and Molecular Engineering, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, China; Research Institute of Environmental Science, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu L.,Wang K.,Wang S.,et al. Exploring the driving forces and reduction potential of industrial energy-related CO 2 emissions during 2001-2030: A case study for Henan Province; China[J],2019,11(4).
APA	Liu L.,Wang K.,Wang S.,Zhang R.,&Tang X..(2019).Exploring the driving forces and reduction potential of industrial energy-related CO 2 emissions during 2001-2030: A case study for Henan Province; China.Sustainability (Switzerland),11(4).
MLA	Liu L.,et al."Exploring the driving forces and reduction potential of industrial energy-related CO 2 emissions during 2001-2030: A case study for Henan Province; China".Sustainability (Switzerland) 11.4(2019).