气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Scenario analysis of CO2 emission peak in road transport of Chinese provinces: A case study of Guangdong

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DOI	10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883831
	Scenario analysis of CO2 emission peak in road transport of Chinese provinces: A case study of Guangdong
	Chen T.; Liu Y.H.; Li L.; Stettler M.; Ding H.; Zeng X.
发表日期	2019
起始页码	888
结束页码	896
英文摘要	Guangdong, a developed province of China, attaches great importance to CO2 emissions in transport these years, especially in road transport. To explore the way to achieve CO2 emission peak of road transport in such a typical province, multiple scenarios were designed, including a baseline scenario, four single mitigation scenarios, and three combined mitigation scenarios. The peaking regularity and scale of provincial CO2 emissions and mitigation potential until 2035 were quantitatively evaluated. The assessment results showed that CO2 emissions kept rapid growth without control and reached 315.4 Mt in 2035. The peak of CO2 emission by 2030 could not be addressed by single mitigation measures. But combination of four single mitigation scenarios could drive CO2 emissions to peak in 2030 at the level of 171.3 Mt. The peak appeared later at higher level of CO2 emissions compared with UK (30.5%) and Australian (45.6%). Therefore, the CO2 emissions from road transport in such a developed province should be constrained in the future. A strong policy combination to constrain provincial CO2 emissions is necessary for sharing the target of CO2 emission reduction in China. IEEE.
英文关键词	CO2 emission peak; Mitigation potential; Road transport; Scenario analysis
scopus关键词	Emission control; Motor transportation; Roads and streets; CO2 emission reduction; CO2 emissions; Mitigation measures; Mitigation potential; Policy combination; Rapid growth; Road transports; Scenario analysis; Carbon dioxide
来源期刊	ICTIS 2019 - 5th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176391
作者单位	School of Intelligent Systems Engineering, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangdong, China; Faculty of Engineering, Imperial College London, Transport and Environment Laboratory, London, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chen T.,Liu Y.H.,Li L.,et al. Scenario analysis of CO2 emission peak in road transport of Chinese provinces: A case study of Guangdong[J],2019.
APA	Chen T.,Liu Y.H.,Li L.,Stettler M.,Ding H.,&Zeng X..(2019).Scenario analysis of CO2 emission peak in road transport of Chinese provinces: A case study of Guangdong.ICTIS 2019 - 5th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety.
MLA	Chen T.,et al."Scenario analysis of CO2 emission peak in road transport of Chinese provinces: A case study of Guangdong".ICTIS 2019 - 5th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (2019).