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DOI10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113369
Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou; China
Huang Y.; Liao C.; Zhang J.; Guo H.; Zhou N.; Zhao D.
发表日期2019
ISSN3062619
卷号251
英文摘要Cities are key to global greenhouse gas emissions management. To explore urban greenhouse gas peak pathways, a city-level Energy Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emission Analysis model was developed by using Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning model framework. Using the city of Guangzhou as a case study, this research compiled a overall energy balance sheet of base year and simulated future CO2 emission trends from 2015 to 2030 under three scenarios. Results show that CO2 emissions in Guangzhou will peak around 2023 under the current policy scenario. In order to advance the CO2 emissions peak to 2020, the more stringent emissions-reduction policies and measures need to be adopted under the peaking scenario and enhanced peaking scenario, with the peak emission value of 125–127 Mt CO2e. The industrial sector is the only sector in which CO2 emissions have peaked in Guangzhou, the building sector's CO2 emissions will not peak by 2030 under any of the three scenarios, while the transportation sector, which will contribute 50 percent of emission reduction potential, is the key to achieve its goal of peaking CO2 emissions on time. In the short term, stringent reduction strategies on the transportation, industrial, and power sectors are needed, including transport mode adjustment, industrial structure adjustment, electrification level improvement, clean-up transformation of thermal power, and energy efficiency improvement. However, in the long term, reduction strategies for the building sector, like energy efficiency improvement and large-scale application of renewable energy, will be essential for Guangzhou. Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词CO2 peak; ECGEA model; Guangzhou; Scenario analysis; Urban GHG emissions
scopus关键词Carbon dioxide; Efficiency; Emission control; Energy efficiency; Energy policy; Energy utilization; Gas emissions; CO2 peak; Emission reduction potentials; Energy efficiency improvements; GHG emission; Guangzhou; Industrial structure adjustments; Large-scale applications; Scenario analysis; Greenhouse gases; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; electrification; emission control; energy balance; energy efficiency; greenhouse gas; industrial structure; model; pollution policy; scenario analysis; urban pollution; China; Guangdong; Guangzhou
来源期刊Applied Energy
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176328
作者单位Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conversion, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510640, China; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States; School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510090, China
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Huang Y.,Liao C.,Zhang J.,et al. Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou; China[J],2019,251.
APA Huang Y.,Liao C.,Zhang J.,Guo H.,Zhou N.,&Zhao D..(2019).Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou; China.Applied Energy,251.
MLA Huang Y.,et al."Exploring potential pathways towards urban greenhouse gas peaks: A case study of Guangzhou; China".Applied Energy 251(2019).
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