气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110960
	Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality
	Capros P.; Zazias G.; Evangelopoulou S.; Kannavou M.; Fotiou T.; Siskos P.; De Vita A.; Sakellaris K.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	3014215
卷号	134
英文摘要	We extend and use the PRIMES energy model to explore pathways towards climate-neutrality in the EU by 2050 and 2070 and analyse implications on energy demand, supply and costs. We draw on the modelling, data and scenario framework developed by the authors to support the European Commission's “Clean Planet for All” communication, released in November 2018. Based on model results for numerous scenarios and sensitivity runs, we analyse key issues to explore feasibility, uncertainties, costs and priorities for climate-neutrality strategy. We suggest that a sustainable climate-neutral energy system in the EU is feasible using known technologies. We emphasise that the EU's climate and energy package for 2030 currently in legislation is not sufficient to ensure climate neutrality by 2050. We characterise as of “no-regret” options promoting energy efficiency, renewables and electrification where cost-effective. However, carbon neutrality also necessitates alternative options of “disruptive” nature. Technologies supporting the disruptive options are not yet mature in industry. High uncertainty surrounds their learning potential. Their deployment heavily depends on policies facilitating investment. The system analysis based on the model illustrates the importance of sectoral integration. We argue that hydrogen, and at a certain extent synthetic carbon-neutral hydrocarbons, are critical elements among the disruptive options. Elsevier Ltd
英文关键词	Climate neutrality; Decarbonisation; Energy system modelling; EU energy policy; Renewables and energy efficiency; Sectoral integration
scopus关键词	Carbon; Cost effectiveness; Energy efficiency; Investments; Uncertainty analysis; Climate neutrality; Decarbonisation; Energy system modelling; EU energy policies; Renewables; Climate models; alternative energy; energy efficiency; energy policy; environmental economics; European Union; modeling; policy strategy; Europe
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/176156
作者单位	E3MLab, National Technical University of Athens, Greece; European Commission, Brussels, Belgium
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Capros P.,Zazias G.,Evangelopoulou S.,et al. Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality[J],2019,134.
APA	Capros P..,Zazias G..,Evangelopoulou S..,Kannavou M..,Fotiou T..,...&Sakellaris K..(2019).Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality.Energy Policy,134.
MLA	Capros P.,et al."Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality".Energy Policy 134(2019).