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DOI10.1038/s41467-021-22211-2
Alternative carbon price trajectories can avoid excessive carbon removal
Strefler J.;   Kriegler E.;   Bauer N.;   Luderer G.;   Pietzcker R.C.;   Giannousakis A.;   Edenhofer O.
发表日期2021
ISSN20411723
卷号12期号:1
英文摘要The large majority of climate change mitigation scenarios that hold warming below 2 °C show high deployment of carbon dioxide removal (CDR), resulting in a peak-and-decline behavior in global temperature. This is driven by the assumption of an exponentially increasing carbon price trajectory which is perceived to be economically optimal for meeting a carbon budget. However, this optimality relies on the assumption that a finite carbon budget associated with a temperature target is filled up steadily over time. The availability of net carbon removals invalidates this assumption and therefore a different carbon price trajectory should be chosen. We show how the optimal carbon price path for remaining well below 2 °C limits CDR demand and analyze requirements for constructing alternatives, which may be easier to implement in reality. We show that warming can be held at well below 2 °C at much lower long-term economic effort and lower CDR deployment and therefore lower risks if carbon prices are high enough in the beginning to ensure target compliance, but increase at a lower rate after carbon neutrality has been reached. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种英语
来源期刊Nature Communications
来源机构Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany ; Universität Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany ; Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany ; Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/175958
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Strefler J.; Kriegler E.; Bauer N.; Luderer G.; Pietzcker R.C.; Giannousakis A.; Edenhofer O.. Alternative carbon price trajectories can avoid excessive carbon removal[J]. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany, Universität Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany,2021,12(1).
APA Strefler J.; Kriegler E.; Bauer N.; Luderer G.; Pietzcker R.C.; Giannousakis A.; Edenhofer O..(2021).Alternative carbon price trajectories can avoid excessive carbon removal.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA Strefler J.; Kriegler E.; Bauer N.; Luderer G.; Pietzcker R.C.; Giannousakis A.; Edenhofer O.."Alternative carbon price trajectories can avoid excessive carbon removal".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).
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