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DOI10.1038/s41558-020-0744-x
Arctic freshwater fish productivity and colonization increase with climate warming
Campana S.E.; Casselman J.M.; Jones C.M.; Black G.; Barker O.; Evans M.; Guzzo M.M.; Kilada R.; Muir A.M.; Perry R.
发表日期2020
ISSN1758-678X
起始页码428
结束页码433
卷号10期号:5
英文摘要Climate warming at high latitudes has long been expected to exceed that predicted for tropical and temperate climes, but recent warming in the Arctic has exceeded even those expectations1. The geophysical consequences of this warming are reasonably well established2, but the impacts on freshwater fauna are poorly understood. Here we use a large-scale geospatial analysis of the population dynamics of one of the most abundant north temperate freshwater fish species to forecast increased demographic rates, productivity and colonization range in response to IPCC climate warming scenarios. Geospatial lake morphometry data were used to characterize 481,784 lakes in the Canadian Arctic capable of supporting lake trout (Salvelinus namaycush) populations. Lake trout productivity in existing habitat is projected to increase by 20% by 2050 due to climate change, but an expanded habitable zone may result in a 29% increase in harvestable biomass. Although many ecosystems are likely to be negatively impacted by climate warming, the phenotypic plasticity of fish will allow a rapid relaxation of the current environmental constraints on growth in the far north, as well as enhanced colonization of bodies of water in which there are few potential competitors. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
英文关键词biomass; colonization; cyprinid; fishery production; freshwater ecosystem; global warming; harvesting; morphometry; population dynamics; Canada; Canadian Arctic; Salvelinus namaycush
语种英语
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171682
作者单位Life and Environmental Science, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland; Department of Biology, Queen’s University, Kingston, ON, Canada; Center for Quantitative Fisheries Ecology, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, United States; Population Ecology Division, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Whitehorse, Yukon, Canada; Water Science and Technology Directorate, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada; Department of Biological Sciences, University of New Brunswick (Saint John), Saint John, NB, Canada; Great Lakes Fishery Commission, Ann Arbor, MI, United States; Yukon Department of Environment, Whitehorse, YT, Canada
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Campana S.E.,Casselman J.M.,Jones C.M.,et al. Arctic freshwater fish productivity and colonization increase with climate warming[J],2020,10(5).
APA Campana S.E..,Casselman J.M..,Jones C.M..,Black G..,Barker O..,...&Perry R..(2020).Arctic freshwater fish productivity and colonization increase with climate warming.Nature Climate Change,10(5).
MLA Campana S.E.,et al."Arctic freshwater fish productivity and colonization increase with climate warming".Nature Climate Change 10.5(2020).
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