气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00952-0
	Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
	O’Neill B.C.; Carter T.R.; Ebi K.; Harrison P.A.; Kemp-Benedict E.; Kok K.; Kriegler E.; Preston B.L.; Riahi K.; Sillmann J.; van Ruijven B.J.; van Vuuren D.; Carlisle D.; Conde C.; Fuglestvedt J.; Green C.; Hasegawa T.; Leininger J.; Monteith S.; Pichs-Madruga R.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	1074
结束页码	1084
卷号	10 期号:12
英文摘要	Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework. © 2020, Springer Nature Limited.
英文关键词	climate change; environmental change; environmental policy; global perspective; literature review; policy making; scenario analysis; social development
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171618
作者单位	Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, Denver, CO, United States; Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, Finland; Center for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States; UK Centre of Ecology & Hydrology, Lancaster, United Kingdom; Stockholm Environment Institute, Somerville, MA, United States; Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, Netherlands; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany; RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, United States; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria; Center for International Climate Research (CICERO), Oslo, Norway; Netherland Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL), The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Center of Atmospheric Sciences, National Autonomous University of Mexico ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	O’Neill B.C.,Carter T.R.,Ebi K.,et al. Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework[J],2020,10(12).
APA	O’Neill B.C..,Carter T.R..,Ebi K..,Harrison P.A..,Kemp-Benedict E..,...&Pichs-Madruga R..(2020).Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework.Nature Climate Change,10(12).
MLA	O’Neill B.C.,et al."Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework".Nature Climate Change 10.12(2020).