气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Future impacts of climate change on inland Ramsar wetlands

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00942-2
	Future impacts of climate change on inland Ramsar wetlands
	Xi Y.; Peng S.; Ciais P.; Chen Y.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	45
结束页码	51
卷号	11 期号:1
英文摘要	The 1971 Ramsar Convention promotes wetland conservation worldwide, yet climate change impacts on wetland extent and associated biodiversity are unclear. Hydrological modelling and soil moisture estimates are used to quantify climate change-driven shifts in wetland area across 1,250 inland Ramsar sites. We estimate that net global wetland area expanded during 1980–2014, but 47% of sites experienced wetland loss. By 2100, a net area loss of at least 6,000 km2 (about 1%) is projected. The number of sites with area loss over 10% will increase by 19–65% under low emissions, 148–243% under high emissions and ~16% with global mean warming of 2 °C relative to 1.5 °C. Sites most vulnerable to shrinkage are located in the Mediterranean, Mexico, Central America and South Africa—all seasonal waterbird migration hotspots. Our findings highlight that climate mitigation is essential for future Ramsar wetlands conservation, in addition to the minimization of human disturbance. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
英文关键词	biodiversity; climate change; climate effect; emission; estimation method; global warming; human activity; hydrological modeling; population migration; Ramsar Convention; soil moisture; wader; wetland; Central America; Mexico [North America]; South Africa
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171611
作者单位	Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, and Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Peking University, Beijing, China; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France; CAS Key Laboratory of Mountain Ecological Restoration and Bioresource Utilization & Ecological Restoration and Biodiversity Conservation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu Institute of Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xi Y.,Peng S.,Ciais P.,et al. Future impacts of climate change on inland Ramsar wetlands[J],2021,11(1).
APA	Xi Y.,Peng S.,Ciais P.,&Chen Y..(2021).Future impacts of climate change on inland Ramsar wetlands.Nature Climate Change,11(1).
MLA	Xi Y.,et al."Future impacts of climate change on inland Ramsar wetlands".Nature Climate Change 11.1(2021).