气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change risk to global port operations

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00937-z
	Climate change risk to global port operations
	Izaguirre C.; Losada I.J.; Camus P.; Vigh J.L.; Stenek V.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	14
结束页码	20
卷号	11 期号:1
英文摘要	The ports sector is critical to global transport and trade. Climate change may compromise port operations, resulting in an increase in operational shutdowns and subsequent economic losses. Here, we present an analysis of historical global risk across the operations of 2,013 ports worldwide and the impacts under a high-end warming scenario, considering atmospheric and marine hazards, industry established operational thresholds, exposure and vulnerability. Increased coastal flooding and overtopping due to sea level rise, as well as the heat stress impacts of higher temperatures, are the main contributors to amplified risk. Ports located in the Pacific Islands, Caribbean Sea and Indian Ocean appear to be at extremely high risk by 2100, whereas those in the African Mediterranean and the Arabian Peninsula (Persian Gulf and Red Sea) are expected to experience very high risk. Estimating risks at the global scale cannot capture site-level details, but these results provide a benchmark for further research and decision-making. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
英文关键词	climate change; economic analysis; flooding; high temperature; overtopping; port operation; research work; sea level change; vulnerability; warming; Arabian Sea; Atlantic Ocean; Caribbean Sea; Indian Ocean; Persian Gulf; Red Sea [Indian Ocean]
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171610
作者单位	IHCantabria-Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de la Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain; National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO, United States; International Finance Corporation (IFC), World Bank Group, Washington WA, DC, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Izaguirre C.,Losada I.J.,Camus P.,et al. Climate change risk to global port operations[J],2021,11(1).
APA	Izaguirre C.,Losada I.J.,Camus P.,Vigh J.L.,&Stenek V..(2021).Climate change risk to global port operations.Nature Climate Change,11(1).
MLA	Izaguirre C.,et al."Climate change risk to global port operations".Nature Climate Change 11.1(2021).