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DOI10.1038/s41558-020-00967-7
Phenological shifts of abiotic events; producers and consumers across a continent
Roslin T.; Antão L.; Hällfors M.; Meyke E.; Lo C.; Tikhonov G.; Delgado M.M.; Gurarie E.; Abadonova M.; Abduraimov O.; Adrianova O.; Akimova T.; Akkiev M.; Ananin A.; Andreeva E.; Andriychuk N.; Antipin M.; Arzamascev K.; Babina S.; Babushkin M.; Bakin O.; Barabancova A.; Basilskaja I.; Belova N.; Belyaeva N.; Bespalova T.; Bisikalova E.; Bobretsov A.; Bobrov V.; Bobrovskyi V.; Bochkareva E.; Bogdanov G.; Bolshakov V.; Bondarchuk S.; Bukharova E.; Butunina A.; Buyvolov Y.; Buyvolova A.; Bykov Y.; Chakhireva E.; Chashchina O.; Cherenkova N.; Chistjakov S.; Chuhontseva S.; Davydov E.A.; Demchenko V.; Diadicheva E.; Dobrolyubov A.; Dostoyevskaya L.; Drovnina S.; Drozdova Z.; Dubanaev A.; Dubrovsky Y.; Elsukov S.; Epova L.; Ermakova O.; Ermakova O.S.; Ershkova E.; Esengeldenova A.; Evstigneev O.; Fedchenko I.; Fedotova V.; Filatova T.; Gashev S.; Gavrilov A.; Gaydysh I.; Golovcov D.; Goncharova N.; Gorbunova E.; Gordeeva T.; Grishchenko V.; Gromyko L.; Hohryakov V.; Hritankov A.; Ignatenko E.; Igosheva S.; Ivanova U.; Ivanova N.; Kalinkin Y.; Kaygorodova E.; Kazansky F.; Kiseleva D.; Knorre A.; Kolpashikov L.; Korobov E.; Korolyova H.; Korotkikh N.; Kosenkov G.; Kossenko S.; Kotlugalyamova E.; Kozlovsky E.; Kozsheechkin V.; Kozurak A.; Kozyr I.; Krasnopevtseva A.; Kruglikov S.; Kuberskaya O.; Kudryavtsev A.; Kulebyakina E.; Kulsha Y.; Kupriyanova M.; Kurbanbagamaev M.; Kutenkov A.; Kutenkova N.; Kuyantseva N.; Kuznetsov A.; Larin E.; Lebedev P.; Litvinov K.; Luzhkova N.; Mahmudov A.; Makovkina L.; Mamontov V.; Mayorova S.; Megalinskaja I.; Meydus A.; Minin A.; Mitrofanov O.; Motruk M.; Myslenkov A.; Nasonova N.; Nemtseva N.; Nesterova I.; Nezdoliy T.; Niroda T.; Novikova T.; Panicheva D.; Pavlov A.; Pavlova K.; Podolski S.; Polikarpova N.; Polyanskaya T.; Pospelov I.; Pospelova E.; Prokhorov I.; Prokosheva I.; Puchnina L.; Putrashyk I.; Raiskaya J.; Rozhkov Y.; Rozhkova O.; Rudenko M.; Rybnikova I.; Rykova S.; Sahnevich M.; Samoylov A.; Sanko V.; Sapelnikova I.; Sazonov S.; Selyunina Z.; Shalaeva K.; Shashkov M.; Shcherbakov A.; Shevchyk V.; Shubin S.; Shujskaja E.; Sibgatullin R.; Sikkila N.; Sitnikova E.; Sivkov A.; Skok N.; Skorokhodova S.; Smirnova E.; Sokolova G.; Sopin V.; Spasovski Y.; Stepanov S.; Stratiy V.; Strekalovskaya V.; Sukhov A.; Suleymanova G.; Sultangareeva L.; Teleganova V.; Teplov V.; Teplova V.; Tertitsa T.; Timoshkin V.; Tirski D.; Tolmachev A.; Tomilin A.; Tselishcheva L.; Turgunov M.; Tyukh Y.; Van P.; Van V.; Vasin A.; Vasina A.; Vekliuk A.; Vetchinnikova L.; Vinogradov V.; Volodchenkov N.; Voloshina I.; Xoliqov T.; Yablonovska-Grishchenko E.; Yakovlev V.; Yakovleva M.; Yantser O.; Yarema Y.; Zahvatov A.; Zakharov V.; Zelenetskiy N.; Zheltukhin A.; Zubina T.; Kurhinen J.; Ovaskainen O.
发表日期2021
ISSN1758-678X
英文摘要Ongoing climate change can shift organism phenology in ways that vary depending on species, habitats and climate factors studied. To probe for large-scale patterns in associated phenological change, we use 70,709 observations from six decades of systematic monitoring across the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Among 110 phenological events related to plants, birds, insects, amphibians and fungi, we find a mosaic of change, defying simple predictions of earlier springs, later autumns and stronger changes at higher latitudes and elevations. Site mean temperature emerged as a strong predictor of local phenology, but the magnitude and direction of change varied with trophic level and the relative timing of an event. Beyond temperature-associated variation, we uncover high variation among both sites and years, with some sites being characterized by disproportionately long seasons and others by short ones. Our findings emphasize concerns regarding ecosystem integrity and highlight the difficulty of predicting climate change outcomes. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171595
作者单位Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; EarthCape OY, Helsinki, Finland; Department of Computer Science, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland; Research Unit of Biodiversity (UMIB, UO-CSIC-PA), Oviedo University, Mieres, Spain; 3237 Biology-Psychology Building, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States; National Park Orlovskoe Polesie, Oryol, Russian Federation; Institute of Botany, Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Tashkent, Uzbekistan; Kostomuksha Nature Reserve, Kostomuksha, Russian Federation; Altai State Nature Biosphere Reserve, Gorno-Altaysk, Russian Federation; Kabardino-Balkarski Nature Reserve, Kashkhatau, Russian Federation; FSE Zapovednoe Podlemorye, Ust-Bargizin, Russian Federation; Institute of General and Experimental Biology, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Ulan-Ude, Russian Federation; State Nature Reserve Stolby, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation; Carpathian Biosp...
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Roslin T.,Antão L.,Hällfors M.,et al. Phenological shifts of abiotic events; producers and consumers across a continent[J],2021.
APA Roslin T..,Antão L..,Hällfors M..,Meyke E..,Lo C..,...&Ovaskainen O..(2021).Phenological shifts of abiotic events; producers and consumers across a continent.Nature Climate Change.
MLA Roslin T.,et al."Phenological shifts of abiotic events; producers and consumers across a continent".Nature Climate Change (2021).
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