气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w
	Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change
	Pokhrel Y.; Felfelani F.; Satoh Y.; Boulange J.; Burek P.; Gädeke A.; Gerten D.; Gosling S.N.; Grillakis M.; Gudmundsson L.; Hanasaki N.; Kim H.; Koutroulis A.; Liu J.; Papadimitriou L.; Schewe J.; Müller Schmied H.; Stacke T.; Telteu C.-E.; Thiery W.; Veldkamp T.; Zhao F.; Wada Y.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
英文摘要	Terrestrial water storage (TWS) modulates the hydrological cycle and is a key determinant of water availability and an indicator of drought. While historical TWS variations have been increasingly studied, future changes in TWS and the linkages to droughts remain unexamined. Here, using ensemble hydrological simulations, we show that climate change could reduce TWS in many regions, especially those in the Southern Hemisphere. Strong inter-ensemble agreement indicates high confidence in the projected changes that are driven primarily by climate forcing rather than land and water management activities. Declines in TWS translate to increases in future droughts. By the late twenty-first century, the global land area and population in extreme-to-exceptional TWS drought could more than double, each increasing from 3% during 1976–2005 to 7% and 8%, respectively. Our findings highlight the importance of climate change mitigation to avoid adverse TWS impacts and increased droughts, and the need for improved water resource management and adaptation. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171593
作者单位	Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States; National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany; Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany; School of Geography, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom; School of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania, Greece; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China; Cranfield Water Science Institute (CWSI), Cranfield University, Cranfield, United Kingdom; Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe-University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; Senckenberg Leibniz Biodiv...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pokhrel Y.,Felfelani F.,Satoh Y.,et al. Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change[J],2021.
APA	Pokhrel Y..,Felfelani F..,Satoh Y..,Boulange J..,Burek P..,...&Wada Y..(2021).Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change.Nature Climate Change.
MLA	Pokhrel Y.,et al."Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change".Nature Climate Change (2021).