气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Global multi-model projections of local urban climates

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00958-8
	Global multi-model projections of local urban climates
	Zhao L.; Oleson K.; Bou-Zeid E.; Krayenhoff E.S.; Bray A.; Zhu Q.; Zheng Z.; Chen C.; Oppenheimer M.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	152
结束页码	157
卷号	11 期号:2
英文摘要	Effective urban planning for climate-driven risks relies on robust climate projections specific to built landscapes. Such projections are absent because of a near-universal lack of urban representation in global-scale Earth system models. Here, we combine climate modelling and data-driven approaches to provide global multi-model projections of urban climates over the twenty-first century. The results demonstrate the inter-model robustness of specific levels of urban warming over certain regions under climate change. Under a high-emissions scenario, cities in the United States, Middle East, northern Central Asia, northeastern China and inland South America and Africa are estimated to experience substantial warming of more than 4 K—larger than regional warming—by the end of the century, with high inter-model confidence. Our findings highlight the critical need for multi-model global projections of local urban climates for climate-sensitive development and support green infrastructure intervention as an effective means of reducing urban heat stress on large scales. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171582
作者单位	Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States; National Center for Supercomputing Applications, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States; Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; School of Environmental Sciences, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada; Department of Mathematics, Reed College, Portland, OR, United States; Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Climate Sciences Department, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States; Centre for Climate Research, Singapore, Singapore; School of Public and International Affairs and Department of Geosciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhao L.,Oleson K.,Bou-Zeid E.,et al. Global multi-model projections of local urban climates[J],2021,11(2).
APA	Zhao L..,Oleson K..,Bou-Zeid E..,Krayenhoff E.S..,Bray A..,...&Oppenheimer M..(2021).Global multi-model projections of local urban climates.Nature Climate Change,11(2).
MLA	Zhao L.,et al."Global multi-model projections of local urban climates".Nature Climate Change 11.2(2021).