气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply

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DOI	10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9
	Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply
	Gernaat D.E.H.J.; de Boer H.S.; Daioglou V.; Yalew S.G.; Müller C.; van Vuuren D.P.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	1758-678X
起始页码	119
结束页码	125
卷号	11 期号:2
英文摘要	Renewable energy resources, which depend on climate, may be susceptible to future climate change. Here we use climate and integrated assessment models to estimate this effect on key renewables. Future potential and costs are quantified across two warming scenarios for eight technologies: utility-scale and rooftop photovoltaic, concentrated solar power, onshore and offshore wind energy, first-generation and lignocellulosic bioenergy, and hydropower. The generated cost–supply curves are then used to estimate energy system impacts. In a baseline warming scenario, the largest impact is increased availability of bioenergy, though this depends on the strength of CO2 fertilization. Impacts on hydropower and wind energy are uncertain, with declines in some regions and increases in others, and impacts on solar power are minor. In a future mitigation scenario, these impacts are smaller, but the energy system response is similar to that in the baseline scenario given a larger reliance of the mitigation scenario on renewables. © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171579
作者单位	PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Faculty of Technology, Policy, and Management, Technical University of Delft, Delft, Netherlands; Wageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, Netherlands; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gernaat D.E.H.J.,de Boer H.S.,Daioglou V.,et al. Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply[J],2021,11(2).
APA	Gernaat D.E.H.J.,de Boer H.S.,Daioglou V.,Yalew S.G.,Müller C.,&van Vuuren D.P..(2021).Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply.Nature Climate Change,11(2).
MLA	Gernaat D.E.H.J.,et al."Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply".Nature Climate Change 11.2(2021).