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DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0551.1
Response of storm-related extreme sea level along the U.S. Atlantic coast to combined weather and climate forcing
Yin J.; Griffies S.M.; Winton M.; Zhao M.; Zanna L.
发表日期2020
ISSN0894-8755
起始页码3745
结束页码3769
卷号33期号:9
英文摘要Storm surge and coastal flooding caused by tropical cyclones (hurricanes) and extratropical cyclones (nor’easters) pose a threat to communities along the Atlantic coast of the United States. Climate change and sea level rise are altering the statistics of these extreme events in a rather complex fashion. Here we use a fully coupled global weather/climate modeling system (GFDL CM4) to study characteristics of extreme daily sea level (ESL) along the U.S. Atlantic coast and their response to global warming. We find that under natural weather processes, the Gulf of Mexico coast is most vulnerable to storm surge and related ESL. New Orleans is a striking hotspot with the highest surge efficiency in response to storm winds. Under a 1% per year atmospheric CO2 increase on centennial time scales, the anthropogenic signal in ESL is robust along the U.S. East Coast. It can emerge from the background variability as soon as in 20 years, or even before global sea level rise is taken into account. The regional dynamic sea level rise induced by the weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation facilitates this early emergence, especially during wintertime coastal flooding associated with nor’easters. Along the Gulf Coast, ESL is sensitive to the modification of hurricane characteristics under the CO2 forcing. © 2020 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy
英文关键词Carbon dioxide; Floods; Global warming; Hurricanes; Storms; Anthropogenic signals; Atlantic meridional overturning circulations; Climate forcings; Extratropical cyclones; Global sea level rise; Natural weathers; Regional dynamics; Tropical cyclone; Sea level; climate forcing; climate modeling; extreme event; global warming; meridional circulation; overturn; sea level change; storm surge; weather; Atlantic Coast [North America]; Atlantic Coast [United States]; Atlantic Ocean; Gulf of Mexico; Louisiana; New Orleans; United States
语种英语
来源期刊Journal of Climate
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/171336
作者单位Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; NOAA/GFDL, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States; Courant Institute, New York University, New York, NY, United States; Department of Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
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Yin J.,Griffies S.M.,Winton M.,et al. Response of storm-related extreme sea level along the U.S. Atlantic coast to combined weather and climate forcing[J],2020,33(9).
APA Yin J.,Griffies S.M.,Winton M.,Zhao M.,&Zanna L..(2020).Response of storm-related extreme sea level along the U.S. Atlantic coast to combined weather and climate forcing.Journal of Climate,33(9).
MLA Yin J.,et al."Response of storm-related extreme sea level along the U.S. Atlantic coast to combined weather and climate forcing".Journal of Climate 33.9(2020).
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