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DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0566.1
Decadal variability in the impact of atmospheric circulation patterns on the winter climate of Northern Russia
Marshall G.J.
发表日期2021
ISSN0894-8755
起始页码1005
结束页码1021
卷号34期号:3
英文摘要The Arctic continues to warm at a much faster rate than the global average. One process contributing to ''Arctic amplification'' involves changes in low-frequency macroscale atmospheric circulation patterns and their consequent influence on regional climate. Here, using ERA5 data, we examine decadal changes in the impact of seven such patterns on winter near-surface temperature (SAT) and precipitation (PPN) in northern Russia and calculate the temporal consistency of any statistically significant relationships. We demonstrate that the 40-yr climatology hides considerable decadal variability in the spatial extent of such circulation pattern-climate relationships across the region, with few areas where their temporal consistency exceeds 60%. This is primarily a response to the pronounced decadal expansion/contraction and/or mobility of the circulation patterns' centers of action. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant pattern (having the highest temporal consistency) affecting SAT west of the Urals. Farther east, the Scandinavian (SCA), Polar/ Eurasian (POL), and West Pacific patterns are successively the dominant pattern influencing SAT across the West Siberian Plains, Central Siberian Plateau, and mountains of Far East Siberia, respectively. From west to east, the SCA, POL, and Pacific-North American patterns exert the most consistent decadal influence on PPN. The only temporally invariant significant decadal relationships occur between the NAO and SAT and the SCA and PPN in small areas of the North European Plain. © 2021 American Meteorological Society
英文关键词Atmospheric pressure; Atmospheric circulation patterns; Circulation patterns; Decadal variability; Near surface temperature; North American; North Atlantic oscillations; Regional climate; Temporal consistency; Climatology
语种英语
来源期刊Journal of Climate
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/170936
作者单位British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
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Marshall G.J.. Decadal variability in the impact of atmospheric circulation patterns on the winter climate of Northern Russia[J],2021,34(3).
APA Marshall G.J..(2021).Decadal variability in the impact of atmospheric circulation patterns on the winter climate of Northern Russia.Journal of Climate,34(3).
MLA Marshall G.J.."Decadal variability in the impact of atmospheric circulation patterns on the winter climate of Northern Russia".Journal of Climate 34.3(2021).
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