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DOI10.1029/2020GL088010
Controls of Spring Persistence Barrier Strength in Different ENSO Regimes and Implications for 21st Century Changes
Jin Y.; Lu Z.; Liu Z.
发表日期2020
ISSN 0094-8276
卷号47期号:11
英文摘要This paper investigates potential factors that control the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Spring Persistence Barrier (SPB) strength in two different ENSO regimes and apply it to explain the ENSO SPB strength modulation after the 21st century. In a damped, noise-driven model, the theoretical solution of SPB strength illustrates that a weaker ENSO growth rate strengthens SPB. In the self-sustained regime, as in the Cane-Zebiak model (chaotic system), the strengthened thermodynamic damping and weakened thermocline positive feedback lead to a more negative ENSO growth rate and, in turn, a stronger SPB. Therefore, in both ENSO regimes, a weaker ENSO growth rate intensifies the SPB. The application of the theory to the real world suggests that a more negative ENSO growth rate, corresponding to a more damped feedback system, is responsible for the stronger SPB in recent decades than in 1980–2000. ©2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词Atmospheric pressure; Chaotic systems; Climatology; Feedback; Feedback systems; Real-world; Southern oscillation; Theoretical solutions; Growth rate; damping; El Nino-Southern Oscillation; persistence; spring (season); thermal regime; thermocline; thermodynamics; twenty first century
语种英语
来源期刊Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/170276
作者单位Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China; Open Studio for Ocean-Climate-Isotope Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (Qingdao), Qingdao, China; Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden; Atmospheric Science Program, Department of Geography, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States
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Jin Y.,Lu Z.,Liu Z.. Controls of Spring Persistence Barrier Strength in Different ENSO Regimes and Implications for 21st Century Changes[J],2020,47(11).
APA Jin Y.,Lu Z.,&Liu Z..(2020).Controls of Spring Persistence Barrier Strength in Different ENSO Regimes and Implications for 21st Century Changes.Geophysical Research Letters,47(11).
MLA Jin Y.,et al."Controls of Spring Persistence Barrier Strength in Different ENSO Regimes and Implications for 21st Century Changes".Geophysical Research Letters 47.11(2020).
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