气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models

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DOI	10.1029/2019GL086816
	Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models
	Narsey S.Y.; Brown J.R.; Colman R.A.; Delage F.; Power S.B.; Moise A.F.; Zhang H.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0094-8276
卷号	47 期号:13
英文摘要	Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon have been highly uncertain in previous generations of coupled climate models. The new Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) ensemble provides an opportunity to address the uncertainty in future projections for northern Australia. We find that the range in Australian monsoon projections from the available CMIP6 ensemble is substantially reduced compared to CMIP5, although models continue to disagree on the magnitude and direction of change. While previous CMIP5 studies identified warming in the western equatorial Pacific as important for Australian monsoon projections, here we show that the western Pacific is not strongly connected to northern Australian precipitation changes in the CMIP6 models. By comparing groups of models based on their future projections, we note that the model-to-model differences in Australian monsoon projections are congruent with the zonally averaged precipitation response in the Southern Hemisphere tropics within each model. © 2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词	Atmospheric thermodynamics; Climate change; Climate change projections; Coupled climate model; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; Equatorial Pacific; Future projections; Precipitation change; Southern Hemisphere; Strongly connected; Climate models; climate change; climate modeling; CMIP; homeowner; monsoon; Southern Hemisphere; warming; Australia
语种	英语
来源期刊	Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/170199
作者单位	Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; School of Earth, Atmosphere, and Environment, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Singapore
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Narsey S.Y.,Brown J.R.,Colman R.A.,et al. Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models[J],2020,47(13).
APA	Narsey S.Y..,Brown J.R..,Colman R.A..,Delage F..,Power S.B..,...&Zhang H..(2020).Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models.Geophysical Research Letters,47(13).
MLA	Narsey S.Y.,et al."Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models".Geophysical Research Letters 47.13(2020).