气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Wind Stress-Induced Multiyear Predictability of Annual Extratropical North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

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DOI	10.1029/2020GL087031
	Wind Stress-Induced Multiyear Predictability of Annual Extratropical North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
	Reintges A.; Latif M.; Bordbar M.H.; Park W.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0094-8276
卷号	47 期号:14
英文摘要	Long-term predictability of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) is commonly attributed to buoyancy-forced changes of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Here we investigate the role of surface wind stress forcing in decadal hindcasts as another source of extratropical North Atlantic SST predictability. For this purpose, a global climate model is forced by reanalysis (ERA-interim) wind stress anomalies over the period 1979–2017. The simulated climate states serve as initial conditions for decadal hindcasts. Significant skill in predicting detrended observed annual SST anomalies is observed over the extratropical central North Atlantic with anomaly correlation coefficients exceeding 0.6 at lead times of 4 to 7 yrs. The skill is insensitive to the calendar month of initialization and primarily linked to upper ocean heat content anomalies that lead anomalous SSTs by several years. ©2020. The Authors.
英文关键词	Atmospheric temperature; Climate models; Submarine geophysics; Surface properties; Surface waters; Wind stress; Anomaly correlations; Atlantic meridional overturning circulations; Global climate model; Initial conditions; North Atlantic; SST anomalies; Stress-induced; Surface wind stress; Oceanography; annual variation; buoyancy forcing; climate modeling; extratropical environment; global climate; hindcasting; meridional circulation; overturn; prediction; sea surface temperature; temperature anomaly; wind stress; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North)
语种	英语
来源期刊	Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/170099
作者单位	GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany; Leibniz-Institut für Ostseeforschung Warnemünde (IOW), Rostock, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Reintges A.,Latif M.,Bordbar M.H.,et al. Wind Stress-Induced Multiyear Predictability of Annual Extratropical North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies[J],2020,47(14).
APA	Reintges A.,Latif M.,Bordbar M.H.,&Park W..(2020).Wind Stress-Induced Multiyear Predictability of Annual Extratropical North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies.Geophysical Research Letters,47(14).
MLA	Reintges A.,et al."Wind Stress-Induced Multiyear Predictability of Annual Extratropical North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies".Geophysical Research Letters 47.14(2020).