气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate Change Significantly Alters Future Wildfire Mitigation Opportunities in Southeastern Australia

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DOI	10.1029/2020GL088893
	Climate Change Significantly Alters Future Wildfire Mitigation Opportunities in Southeastern Australia
	Di Virgilio G.; Evans J.P.; Clarke H.; Sharples J.; Hirsch A.L.; Hart M.A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0094-8276
卷号	47 期号:15
英文摘要	Prescribed burning is used globally to mitigate the risks of wildfires, with severe wildfires increasing in frequency in recent decades. Despite their importance in wildfire management, the nature of future changes to prescribed burn windows under global warming remains uncertain. We use a regional climate projection ensemble to provide a robust spatiotemporal quantification of statistically significant future changes in prescribed burn windows for southeastern Australia. There are significant decreases during months presently used for prescribed burning, that is, in March to May in 2060–2079 versus 1990–2009 across several temperate regions. Conversely, burn windows show widespread significant increases in June to August, that is, months when burns have rarely occurred historically, and also in spring (September–October). Overall, projected changes in temperature and fuel moisture show the most widespread and largest decreases (or increases) in the number of days within their respective ranges suitable for conducting burns. These results support wildfire risk mitigation planning. ©2020. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
英文关键词	Global warming; Fuel moisture; Prescribed burn; Prescribed burning; Regional climate projections; South-eastern Australia; Temperate regions; Wildfire management; Wildfire risks; Fires; climate change; global warming; mitigation; prescribed burning; regional climate; risk assessment; spatiotemporal analysis; wildfire
语种	英语
来源期刊	Geophysical Research Letters
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/169960
作者单位	Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; Centre for Environmental Risk Management of Bushfires, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia; Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, NSW, Australia; NSW Bushfire Risk Management Research Hub, Wollongong, NSW, Australia; School of Science, University of New South Wales, Canberra, ACT, Australia; Bushfire and Natural Hazards Cooperative Research Centre, University of New South Wales, East Melbourne, VIC, Australia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Di Virgilio G.,Evans J.P.,Clarke H.,et al. Climate Change Significantly Alters Future Wildfire Mitigation Opportunities in Southeastern Australia[J],2020,47(15).
APA	Di Virgilio G.,Evans J.P.,Clarke H.,Sharples J.,Hirsch A.L.,&Hart M.A..(2020).Climate Change Significantly Alters Future Wildfire Mitigation Opportunities in Southeastern Australia.Geophysical Research Letters,47(15).
MLA	Di Virgilio G.,et al."Climate Change Significantly Alters Future Wildfire Mitigation Opportunities in Southeastern Australia".Geophysical Research Letters 47.15(2020).