气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The policy-driven peak and reduction of China's carbon emissions

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.accre.2020.05.008
	The policy-driven peak and reduction of China's carbon emissions
	Qi Y.; Stern N.; He J.-K.; Lu J.-Q.; Liu T.-L.; King D.; Wu T.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	1674-9278
起始页码	65
结束页码	71
卷号	11 期号:2
英文摘要	Pursuant to the Paris Agreement, China committed itself to peak its carbon emissions by around 2030 and to increase the non-fossil share of primary energy to 20% at the same time. The government has supported the international agreement by setting and strengthening the domestic policy targets for an earlier peak and faster reduction, aiming to contain the average global temperature increase to well below 2 °C. We develop a Kaya Inequality method to assess the time of peak and pace of reduction of China's energy-related CO2 emissions based on the national energy policy targets for 2030. We find that, despite the minor fluctuations, the current plateau essentially represents the peak emissions and should enter a phase of steady decline by around 2025, given current trends in energy consumption and decarbonization. Such developments would be consistent with the strengthened national policy target to achieve 50% of renewable power generation by 2030. However, the basic policy targets – a 20% share of non-fossil energy and 6 Gtce in total energy consumption by 2030 – would be insufficient to peak carbon emissions by around 2030. The synergy and interplay between domestic policy target setting and international climate commitments shed light on the need to elevate national climate ambitions under the Paris Agreement and beyond. © 2020 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration)
语种	英语
来源期刊	Advances in Climate Change Research
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/168737
作者单位	Institute for Public Policy, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom; Institute for Low-Carbon Economy Research, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies, University of Wisconsin MadisonWI 53562, United States; Department of Political Science, University of Wisconsin MadisonWI 53562, United States; Division of Public Policy, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 1TN, United Kingdom; State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China; Natural Capital Project, Stanford UniversityCA 94305, United ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Qi Y.,Stern N.,He J.-K.,et al. The policy-driven peak and reduction of China's carbon emissions[J],2020,11(2).
APA	Qi Y..,Stern N..,He J.-K..,Lu J.-Q..,Liu T.-L..,...&Wu T..(2020).The policy-driven peak and reduction of China's carbon emissions.Advances in Climate Change Research,11(2).
MLA	Qi Y.,et al."The policy-driven peak and reduction of China's carbon emissions".Advances in Climate Change Research 11.2(2020).