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DOI10.1038/s41893-018-0076-2
Progress towards sustainable intensification in China challenged by land-use change
Zuo L.; Zhang Z.; Carlson K.M.; MacDonald G.K.; Brauman K.A.; Liu Y.; Zhang W.; Zhang H.; Wu W.; Zhao X.; Wang X.; Liu B.; Yi L.; Wen Q.; Liu F.; Xu J.; Hu S.; Sun F.; Gerber J.S.; West P.C.
发表日期2018
ISSN2398-9629
起始页码304
结束页码313
卷号1期号:6
英文摘要China is experiencing rapid land-use change and shifts in farm management. However, the interactive effects of these drivers on cropping system sustainability are unclear. Here, we evaluate spatio-temporal trade-offs among crop production and five key environmental indicators, including land use, water consumption, excess nitrogen and phosphorous use, and greenhouse gas emissions in China. From 1987 to 2010, as crop kilocalorie production increased (+66%), so did the total environmental impact of all indicators (+1.3-161%) except greenhouse gas emissions (-18%). Concurrently, environmental intensity - impact per kilocalorie produced - decreased for all indicators (-51 - 13%) except excess phosphorus (+57%). Despite substantial loss and displacement of cropland to urban expansion, counterfactual scenario analysis indicates that farm management explained >90% of changes in crop production and environmental impact. However, cropland is expanding in regions of relatively high land and irrigation intensity. Although efficiency gains partly compensated for increased environmental pressures, continued geographic shifts in cropland could challenge progress towards agricultural sustainability in China. © 2018 The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词Crops; Cultivation; Economic and social effects; Farms; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Land use; Phosphorus; Sustainable development; Agricultural sustainability; Cropping systems; Environmental indicators; Environmental pressures; Interactive effect; Irrigation intensities; Scenario analysis; Water consumption; Environmental impact
来源期刊Nature Sustainability
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163600
作者单位Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management, University of Hawai'i, Honolulu, HI, United States; Department of Geography, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN, United States; Academy of Forest Inventory and Planning, State Forestry Administration, Beijing, China; LAPC, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Esearch Center for Engineering Ecology and Nonlinear Science, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China; Key Laboratory of Agri-informatics, Min. of Agric./Inst. of Agric. Rsrc. and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China
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GB/T 7714
Zuo L.,Zhang Z.,Carlson K.M.,et al. Progress towards sustainable intensification in China challenged by land-use change[J],2018,1(6).
APA Zuo L..,Zhang Z..,Carlson K.M..,MacDonald G.K..,Brauman K.A..,...&West P.C..(2018).Progress towards sustainable intensification in China challenged by land-use change.Nature Sustainability,1(6).
MLA Zuo L.,et al."Progress towards sustainable intensification in China challenged by land-use change".Nature Sustainability 1.6(2018).
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