气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Proactive conservation to prevent habitat losses to agricultural expansion

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-020-00656-5
	Proactive conservation to prevent habitat losses to agricultural expansion
	Williams D.R.; Clark M.; Buchanan G.M.; Ficetola G.F.; Rondinini C.; Tilman D.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	2398-9629
英文摘要	The projected loss of millions of square kilometres of natural ecosystems to meet future demand for food, animal feed, fibre and bioenergy crops is likely to massively escalate threats to biodiversity. Reducing these threats requires a detailed knowledge of how and where they are likely to be most severe. We developed a geographically explicit model of future agricultural land clearance based on observed historical changes, and combined the outputs with species-specific habitat preferences for 19,859 species of terrestrial vertebrates. We project that 87.7% of these species will lose habitat to agricultural expansion by 2050, with 1,280 species projected to lose ≥25% of their habitat. Proactive policies targeting how, where, and what food is produced could reduce these threats, with a combination of approaches potentially preventing almost all these losses while contributing to healthier human diets. As international biodiversity targets are set to be updated in 2021, these results highlight the importance of proactive efforts to safeguard biodiversity by reducing demand for agricultural land. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Agricultural robots; Animals; Biodiversity; Biofuels; Crops; Ecosystems; Expansion; Agricultural expansion; Agricultural land; Bioenergy crops; Explicit modeling; Habitat preferences; Historical changes; Natural ecosystem; Species specifics; Loss prevention
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163554
作者单位	Sustainability Research Institute, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States; Oxford Martin Programme on the Future of Food and Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy; Laboratoire d’Écologie Alpine (LECA), University Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Grenoble, France; Global Mammal Assessment Programme, Dipartimento di Biologia e Biotecnologie Charles Darwin, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome, Italy; Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Saint Paul, MN, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Williams D.R.,Clark M.,Buchanan G.M.,et al. Proactive conservation to prevent habitat losses to agricultural expansion[J],2020.
APA	Williams D.R.,Clark M.,Buchanan G.M.,Ficetola G.F.,Rondinini C.,&Tilman D..(2020).Proactive conservation to prevent habitat losses to agricultural expansion.Nature Sustainability.
MLA	Williams D.R.,et al."Proactive conservation to prevent habitat losses to agricultural expansion".Nature Sustainability (2020).