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DOI | 10.1038/s41893-019-0450-8 |
The costs of human-induced evolution in an agricultural system | |
Varah A.; Ahodo K.; Coutts S.R.; Hicks H.L.; Comont D.; Crook L.; Hull R.; Neve P.; Childs D.Z.; Freckleton R.P.; Norris K. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 2398-9629 |
起始页码 | 63 |
结束页码 | 71 |
卷号 | 3期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Pesticides have underpinned significant improvements in global food security, albeit with associated environmental costs. Currently, the yield benefits of pesticides are threatened as overuse has led to wide-scale evolution of resistance. Despite this threat, there are no large-scale estimates of crop yield losses or economic costs due to resistance. Here, we combine national-scale density and resistance data for the weed Alopecurus myosuroides (black-grass) with crop yield maps and an economic model to estimate resistance impacts. We estimate that the annual cost of resistance in England is £0.4 billion in lost gross profit (2014 prices) and annual wheat yield loss due to resistance is 0.8 million tonnes. A total loss of herbicide control against black-grass would cost £1 billion and 3.4 million tonnes of lost wheat yield annually. Worldwide, there are 253 herbicide-resistant weeds, so the global impact of resistance could be enormous. Our research supports urgent national-scale planning to combat resistance and an incentive for increasing yields through food-production systems rather than herbicides. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Chemical contamination; Cost estimating; Crops; Economics; Food supply; Herbicides; Weed control; Agricultural system; Economic modeling; Environmental costs; Food production systems; Global food security; Global impacts; Herbicide resistant weeds; Research support; Cost benefit analysis |
来源期刊 | Nature Sustainability
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163533 |
作者单位 | Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, Regent’s Park, London, United Kingdom; Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Western Bank, Sheffield, United Kingdom; Lincoln Institute of Agri-Food Technology, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, United Kingdom; School of Animal, Rural and Environmental Sciences, Nottingham Trent University, Brackenhurst Campus, Southwell, United Kingdom; Biointeractions and Crop Protection Department, Rothamsted Research, West Common, Harpenden, United Kingdom |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Varah A.,Ahodo K.,Coutts S.R.,et al. The costs of human-induced evolution in an agricultural system[J],2020,3(1). |
APA | Varah A..,Ahodo K..,Coutts S.R..,Hicks H.L..,Comont D..,...&Norris K..(2020).The costs of human-induced evolution in an agricultural system.Nature Sustainability,3(1). |
MLA | Varah A.,et al."The costs of human-induced evolution in an agricultural system".Nature Sustainability 3.1(2020). |
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