气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-019-0418-8
	Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus
	Van Vuuren D.P.; Bijl D.L.; Bogaart P.; Stehfest E.; Biemans H.; Dekker S.C.; Doelman J.C.; Gernaat D.E.H.J.; Harmsen M.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	1132
结束页码	1141
卷号	2 期号:12
英文摘要	The literature emphasizes the important relationships between the consumption and production of food, energy and water, and environmental challenges such as climate change and loss of biodiversity. New tools are needed to analyse the future dynamics of this nexus. Here, we introduce a set of model-based scenarios and associated Sankey diagrams that enable analysis of the relevant relationships and dynamics, as well as the options to formulate response strategies. The scenarios show that if no new policies are adopted, food production and energy generation could further increase by around 60%, and water consumption by around 20% over the period 2015–2050, leading to further degradation of resources and increasing environmental pressure. Response strategies in terms of climate policies, higher agricultural yields, dietary change and reduction of food waste are analysed to reveal how they may contribute to reversing these trends, and possibly even lead to a reduction of land use in the future. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Biodiversity; Chemical contamination; Land use; Agricultural yields; Energy generations; Environmental challenges; Environmental pressures; Food production; Response strategies; Support analysis; Water consumption; Climate change
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163531
作者单位	Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands; Statistics Netherlands, The Hague, Netherlands; Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, Netherlands
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Van Vuuren D.P.,Bijl D.L.,Bogaart P.,等. Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus[J],2019,2(12).
APA	Van Vuuren D.P..,Bijl D.L..,Bogaart P..,Stehfest E..,Biemans H..,...&Harmsen M..(2019).Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus.Nature Sustainability,2(12).
MLA	Van Vuuren D.P.,et al."Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus".Nature Sustainability 2.12(2019).