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DOI | 10.1038/s41893-020-0560-3 |
Brazilian maize yields negatively affected by climate after land clearing | |
Spera S.A.; Winter J.M.; Partridge T.F. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 2398-9629 |
起始页码 | 845 |
结束页码 | 852 |
卷号 | 3期号:10 |
英文摘要 | Over 50% of the Brazilian Cerrado has been cleared, predominantly for agropastoral purposes. Here, we use the Weather Research and Forecasting model to run 15-year climate simulations across Brazil with six land-cover scenarios: (1) before extensive land clearing, (2) observed in 2016, (3) Cerrado replaced with single-cropped (soy) agriculture, (4) Cerrado replaced with double-cropped (soy–maize) agriculture, (5) eastern Amazon replaced with single-cropped agriculture and (6) eastern Amazon replaced with double-cropped agriculture. All land-clearing scenarios (2–6) contain significantly more growing season days with temperatures that exceed critical temperature thresholds for maize. Evaporative fraction significantly decreases across all land-clearing scenarios. Altered weather reduces maize yields between 6% and 8% compared with the before-extensive-land-clearing scenario; however, soy yields were not significantly affected. Our findings provide evidence that land clearing has degraded weather in the Brazilian Cerrado, undermining one of the main reasons for land clearing: rain-fed crop production. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Agricultural robots; Climate models; Cultivation; Brazilian cerrado; Climate simulation; Critical temperatures; Crop production; Eastern amazons; Evaporative fraction; Growing season; Weather research and forecasting models; Weather forecasting |
来源期刊 | Nature Sustainability |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163499 |
作者单位 | Department of Geography and Environment, University of Richmond, Richmond, VA, United States; Neukom Institute for Computational Science, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States; Department of Geography, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States; Department of Earth Science, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Spera S.A.,Winter J.M.,Partridge T.F.. Brazilian maize yields negatively affected by climate after land clearing[J],2020,3(10). |
APA | Spera S.A.,Winter J.M.,&Partridge T.F..(2020).Brazilian maize yields negatively affected by climate after land clearing.Nature Sustainability,3(10). |
MLA | Spera S.A.,et al."Brazilian maize yields negatively affected by climate after land clearing".Nature Sustainability 3.10(2020). |
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