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DOI10.1038/s41893-018-0192-z
Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century
Nelson G.; Bogard J.; Lividini K.; Arsenault J.; Riley M.; Sulser T.B.; Mason-D’Croz D.; Power B.; Gustafson D.; Herrero M.; Wiebe K.; Cooper K.; Remans R.; Rosegrant M.
发表日期2018
ISSN2398-9629
起始页码773
结束页码781
卷号1期号:12
英文摘要Twenty-first-century challenges for food and nutrition security include the spread of obesity worldwide and persistent undernutrition in vulnerable populations, along with continued micronutrient deficiencies. Climate change, increasing incomes and evolving diets complicate the search for sustainable solutions. Projecting to the year 2050, we explore future macronutrient and micronutrient adequacy with combined biophysical and socioeconomic scenarios that are country-specific. In all scenarios for 2050, the average benefits of widely shared economic growth, if achieved, are much greater than the modelled negative effects of climate change. Average macronutrient availability in 2050 at the country level appears adequate in all but the poorest countries. Many regions, however, will continue to have critical micronutrient inadequacies. Climate change alters micronutrient availability in some regions more than others. These findings indicate that the greatest food security challenge in 2050 will be providing nutritious diets rather than adequate calories. Research priorities and policies should emphasize nutritional quality by increasing availability and affordability of nutrient-dense foods and improving dietary diversity. © 2018, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
scopus关键词Developing countries; Economic analysis; Food supply; Nutrients; Nutrition; Trace elements; Economic growths; Food security; Nutrient-dense foods; Nutritional qualities; Poorest countries; Research priorities; Sustainable solution; Climate change
来源期刊Nature Sustainability
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163377
作者单位University of Illinois, Urbana–Champaign, Champaign, IL, United States; Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, United States; Program in International and Community Nutrition, Department of Nutrition, University of California, Davis, CA, United States; Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Health and Biosecurity, Adelaide, SA, Australia; Independent Scientist, St Louis, MO, United States; Nestlé Research Centre, Vers-chez-les-Blancs, Lausanne, Switzerland; Bioversity International, Heverlee, Belgium; Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands
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Nelson G.,Bogard J.,Lividini K.,et al. Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century[J],2018,1(12).
APA Nelson G..,Bogard J..,Lividini K..,Arsenault J..,Riley M..,...&Rosegrant M..(2018).Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century.Nature Sustainability,1(12).
MLA Nelson G.,et al."Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century".Nature Sustainability 1.12(2018).
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