气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Quantifying resilience to recurrent ecosystem disturbances using flow

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DOI	10.1038/s41893-018-0168-z
	Quantifying resilience to recurrent ecosystem disturbances using flow–kick dynamics
	Meyer K.; Hoyer-Leitzel A.; Iams S.; Klasky I.; Lee V.; Ligtenberg S.; Bussmann E.; Zeeman M.L.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	671
结束页码	678
卷号	1 期号:11
英文摘要	Shifting ecosystem disturbance patterns due to climate change (for example, storms, droughts and wildfires) or direct human interference (for example, harvests and nutrient loading) highlight the importance of quantifying and strengthening the resilience of desired ecological regimes. Although existing metrics capture resilience to isolated shocks, gradual parameter changes, and continual noise, quantifying resilience to repeated, discrete disturbance events requires different analytical tools. Here, we introduce a mathematical flow–kick framework that uses dynamical systems tools to quantify resilience to disturbances explicitly in terms of their magnitude and frequency. We identify a boundary between disturbance regimes that cause either escape from, or stabilization within, a basin of attraction. We use the boundary to define resilience metrics tailored to repeated, discrete perturbations. The flow–kick model suggests that the distance-to-threshold resilience metric overestimates resilience in the context of repeated perturbations. It also reveals counterintuitive triggers for regime shifts. These include increasing the periods between disturbance events in proportion to increases to disturbance magnitude, and—in systems with multiple dynamic variables—increasing time periods between disturbances of constant magnitude. © 2018, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Dynamical systems; Basin of attraction; Constant magnitude; Disturbance regime; Ecological regimes; Ecosystem disturbance; Human interference; Repeated perturbation; Resilience metrics; Ecosystems
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163358
作者单位	University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States; Mount Holyoke College, South Hadley, MA, United States; Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States; University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States; Bowdoin College, Brunswick, ME, United States; Minnetonka High School, Minnetonka, MN, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Meyer K.,Hoyer-Leitzel A.,Iams S.,等. Quantifying resilience to recurrent ecosystem disturbances using flow–kick dynamics[J],2018,1(11).
APA	Meyer K..,Hoyer-Leitzel A..,Iams S..,Klasky I..,Lee V..,...&Zeeman M.L..(2018).Quantifying resilience to recurrent ecosystem disturbances using flow–kick dynamics.Nature Sustainability,1(11).
MLA	Meyer K.,et al."Quantifying resilience to recurrent ecosystem disturbances using flow–kick dynamics".Nature Sustainability 1.11(2018).