气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Cumulative environmental and employment impacts of the shale gas boom

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-019-0420-1
	Cumulative environmental and employment impacts of the shale gas boom
	Mayfield E.N.; Cohon J.L.; Muller N.Z.; Azevedo I.M.L.; Robinson A.L.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	1122
结束页码	1131
卷号	2 期号:12
英文摘要	Natural gas has become the largest fuel source for electricity generation in the United States and accounts for a third of energy production and consumption. However, the environmental and socioeconomic impacts across the supply chain and over the boom-and-bust cycle have not been comprehensively characterized. To provide insight for long-term decision-making for energy transitions, we estimate the cumulative effects of the shale gas boom in the Appalachian basin from 2004 to 2016 on air quality, climate change and employment. We find that air quality effects (1,200 to 4,600 deaths; US$23 billion +99%/−164%) and employment effects (469,000 job-years ±30%; US$21 billion ±30%) follow the boom-and-bust cycle, while climate impacts (US$12 billion to 94 billion) persist for generations well beyond the period of natural gas activity. Employment effects concentrate in rural areas where production occurs. However, almost half of cumulative premature mortality due to air pollution is downwind of these areas, occurring in urban regions of the northeast. The cumulative effects of methane and carbon dioxide emissions on global mean temperature over a 30-yr time horizon are nearly equivalent but over the long term, the cumulative climate impact is largely due to carbon dioxide. We estimate that a tax on production of US$2 per thousand cubic feet (+172%/−76%) would compensate for cumulative climate and air quality externalities across the supply chain. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Air quality; Carbon dioxide; Decision making; Employment; Global warming; Natural gas; Shale gas; Supply chains; Boom and bust cycles; Carbon dioxide emissions; Electricity generation; Energy productions; Global-mean temperature; Long-term decisions; Premature mortality; Socio-economic impacts; Natural gas wells
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163345
作者单位	Andlinger Center for Energy and the Environment, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States; Department of Mechanical Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mayfield E.N.,Cohon J.L.,Muller N.Z.,et al. Cumulative environmental and employment impacts of the shale gas boom[J],2019,2(12).
APA	Mayfield E.N.,Cohon J.L.,Muller N.Z.,Azevedo I.M.L.,&Robinson A.L..(2019).Cumulative environmental and employment impacts of the shale gas boom.Nature Sustainability,2(12).
MLA	Mayfield E.N.,et al."Cumulative environmental and employment impacts of the shale gas boom".Nature Sustainability 2.12(2019).