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DOI10.1038/s41893-019-0224-3
Health and climate impacts of future United States land freight modelled with global-to-urban models
Liu L.; Hwang T.; Lee S.; Ouyang Y.; Lee B.; Smith S.J.; Tessum C.W.; Marshall J.D.; Yan F.; Daenzer K.; Bond T.C.
发表日期2019
ISSN2398-9629
起始页码105
结束页码112
卷号2期号:2
英文摘要Driven by economic growth, globalization and e-commerce, freight per capita in the United States has been consistently increasing in recent decades. Projecting to 2050, we explore the emissions, and health and climate impacts of US freight truck and rail transport under various policy scenarios. We predict that, overall, air pollutant emissions and health impacts from the freight-truck-rail system will be greatly reduced from 2010 to 2030, while long-term climate forcing will continue to increase if petroleum is the fuel source. A carbon tax could shift freight shipments from trucking to energy-efficient rail, providing the greatest reduction in long-term forcing among all policies (24%), whereas a policy enforcing truck fleet maintenance would cause the largest reduction in air pollutant emissions, offering the largest reduction in mortalities (36%). Increasing urban compactness could reduce freight activity but increase population exposure per unit emission, offering slight health benefits over the current urban sprawl trend (13%). © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
scopus关键词Air pollution; Economics; Energy efficiency; Fleet operations; Health; Truck transportation; Trucks; Air pollutant emission; Climate forcings; Economic growths; Energy efficient; Freight activity; Health benefits; Policy scenario; Population exposure; Climate models
来源期刊Nature Sustainability
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163314
作者单位Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States; Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL, United States; Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States; Energy Systems Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States; Department of Agricultural Economics, Sociology, and Education, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States; Asia Pacific School of Logistics, Inha University, Incheon, South Korea; Smart & Green City Research Center, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements, Sejong, South Korea
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GB/T 7714
Liu L.,Hwang T.,Lee S.,et al. Health and climate impacts of future United States land freight modelled with global-to-urban models[J],2019,2(2).
APA Liu L..,Hwang T..,Lee S..,Ouyang Y..,Lee B..,...&Bond T.C..(2019).Health and climate impacts of future United States land freight modelled with global-to-urban models.Nature Sustainability,2(2).
MLA Liu L.,et al."Health and climate impacts of future United States land freight modelled with global-to-urban models".Nature Sustainability 2.2(2019).
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