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DOI10.1038/s41893-020-0488-7
Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time
Knobloch F.; Hanssen S.V.; Lam A.; Pollitt H.; Salas P.; Chewpreecha U.; Huijbregts M.A.J.; Mercure J.-F.
发表日期2020
ISSN2398-9629
起始页码437
结束页码447
卷号3期号:6
英文摘要The electrification of passenger road transport and household heating features prominently in current and planned policy frameworks to achieve greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets. However, since electricity generation involves using fossil fuels, it is not established where and when the replacement of fossil-fuel-based technologies by electric cars and heat pumps can effectively reduce overall emissions. Could electrification policies backfire by promoting their diffusion before electricity is decarbonized? Here we analyse current and future emissions trade-offs in 59 world regions with heterogeneous households, by combining forward-looking integrated assessment model simulations with bottom-up life-cycle assessments. We show that already under current carbon intensities of electricity generation, electric cars and heat pumps are less emission intensive than fossil-fuel-based alternatives in 53 world regions, representing 95% of the global transport and heating demand. Even if future end-use electrification is not matched by rapid power-sector decarbonization, it will probably reduce emissions in almost all world regions. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种英语
scopus关键词Economic and social effects; Electric automobiles; Electric power generation; Electric utilities; Emission control; Gas emissions; Greenhouse gases; Heat pump systems; Heating; Life cycle; Pumps; Carbon intensity; Electricity generation; Global transport; Greenhouse gas emissions reductions; Integrated assessment models; Life Cycle Assessment (LCA); Net emission reductions; Policy framework; Fossil fuels
来源期刊Nature Sustainability
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163287
作者单位Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Radboud University, Nijmegen, Netherlands; Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance (C-EENRG), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Macao, Taipa, Macau; Cambridge Econometrics Ltd, Cambridge, United Kingdom; University of Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Department of Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
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Knobloch F.,Hanssen S.V.,Lam A.,et al. Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time[J],2020,3(6).
APA Knobloch F..,Hanssen S.V..,Lam A..,Pollitt H..,Salas P..,...&Mercure J.-F..(2020).Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time.Nature Sustainability,3(6).
MLA Knobloch F.,et al."Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time".Nature Sustainability 3.6(2020).
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