气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Scope and limitations of drought management within complex human

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-019-0326-y
	Scope and limitations of drought management within complex human–natural systems
	Jaeger W.K.; Amos A.; Conklin D.R.; Langpap C.; Moore K.; Plantinga A.J.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	710
结束页码	717
卷号	2 期号:8
英文摘要	Growing evidence suggests that drought risk is increasing due to climate change. Evaluation of potential policy responses involves understanding complex economic tradeoffs, hydrologic and social feedbacks, and recognizing how combinations of interventions may have complementary or conflicting effects. This paper explores the potential that coupled human–natural system models have to address these questions. We employ a detailed model of the Willamette River Basin, Oregon, to evaluate the effectiveness of a variety of potential drought policy interventions to conserve or reallocate water during a simulated near-term drought year. The drought year is characterized by early-season low flows that make it impossible to meet water demands. The results indicate that while the policies are effective at conserving water, they have limited ability to mitigate the shortages because the timing and location of conservation responses do not match the timing and location of the shortages. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Climate change; Detailed modeling; Drought management; Drought risks; Natural systems; Policy intervention; River basins; Social feedbacks; Water demand; Drought
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163261
作者单位	Department of Applied Economics, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States; School of Law, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, United States; Oregon Freshwater Simulations, Portland, OR, United States; School of Marine and Environmental Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States; Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jaeger W.K.,Amos A.,Conklin D.R.,等. Scope and limitations of drought management within complex human–natural systems[J],2019,2(8).
APA	Jaeger W.K.,Amos A.,Conklin D.R.,Langpap C.,Moore K.,&Plantinga A.J..(2019).Scope and limitations of drought management within complex human–natural systems.Nature Sustainability,2(8).
MLA	Jaeger W.K.,et al."Scope and limitations of drought management within complex human–natural systems".Nature Sustainability 2.8(2019).