气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-019-0405-0
	Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity
	Andrijevic M.; Crespo Cuaresma J.; Muttarak R.; Schleussner C.-F.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	35
结束页码	41
卷号	3 期号:1
英文摘要	Weak governance is one of the key obstacles for sustainable development. Undoubtedly, improvement of governance comes with a broad range of co-benefits, including countries’ abilities to respond to pressing global challenges such as climate change. However, beyond the qualitative acknowledgement of its importance, quantifications of future pathways of governance are still lacking. This study provides projections of future governance in line with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. We find that under a ‘rocky road’ scenario, 30% of the global population would still live in countries characterized by weak governance in 2050, while under a ‘green road’ scenario, weak governance would be almost entirely overcome over the same time frame. On the basis of pathways for governance, we estimate the adaptive capacity of countries to climate change. Limits to adaptive capacity exist even under optimistic pathways beyond mid-century. Our findings underscore the importance of accounting for governance in assessments of climate change impacts. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Roads and streets; Adaptive capacity; Climate change impact; Co benefits; Global challenges; Global population; Time frame; Climate change
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163027
作者单位	IRI THESys, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany; Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany; Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria; Austrian Institute of Economic Research, Vienna, Austria; School of International Development, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Andrijevic M.,Crespo Cuaresma J.,Muttarak R.,et al. Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity[J],2020,3(1).
APA	Andrijevic M.,Crespo Cuaresma J.,Muttarak R.,&Schleussner C.-F..(2020).Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity.Nature Sustainability,3(1).
MLA	Andrijevic M.,et al."Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity".Nature Sustainability 3.1(2020).