气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41893-019-0409-9
	Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging
	Allen C.; Metternicht G.; Wiedmann T.; Pedercini M.
发表日期	2019
ISSN	2398-9629
起始页码	1041
结束页码	1050
卷号	2 期号:11
英文摘要	The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) combine complex interlinkages, future uncertainty and transformational change. Recent studies highlight that trade-offs between SDG targets may undermine achievement of the goals. Significant gaps remain in scenario frameworks and modelling capabilities. We develop a novel approach nesting national SDG scenario modelling within the global Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, selecting Australia as a use case. The integrated SDG–Australia model is used to project four alternative scenarios that adopt different development approaches. Although we find that Australia is off-track to achieve the SDGs by 2030, considerable progress is possible by altering Australia’s development trajectory. A ‘Sustainability Transition’ scenario comprising a coherent set of policies and investments delivers rapid and balanced progress of 70% towards SDG targets by 2030, well ahead of the business-as-usual scenario (40%). A focus on economic growth, social inclusion or green economy in isolation foregoes opportunities for greater gains. However, future uncertainty and cascading risks could undermine progress, and closing the gap to 100% SDG achievement will be very challenging. This will require a shift from ‘transition’ to ‘transformation’. © 2019, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Economic and social effects; Sustainable development; Business-as-usual; Development approach; Economic growths; Green economies; Modelling capabilities; Scenario modelling; Social inclusion; Sustainability transition; Economics
来源期刊	Nature Sustainability
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/163023
作者单位	School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, PANGEA Centre, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia; Sustainability Assessment Program, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia; ISA, School of Physics A28, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia; Millennium Institute, Washington, DC, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Allen C.,Metternicht G.,Wiedmann T.,et al. Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging[J],2019,2(11).
APA	Allen C.,Metternicht G.,Wiedmann T.,&Pedercini M..(2019).Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging.Nature Sustainability,2(11).
MLA	Allen C.,et al."Greater gains for Australia by tackling all SDGs but the last steps will be the most challenging".Nature Sustainability 2.11(2019).