气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050

CCPortal

DOI	10.1073/pnas.1900577117
	Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050
	Otto I.M.; Donges J.F.; Cremades R.; Bhowmik A.; Hewitt R.J.; Lucht W.; Rockström J.; Allerberger F.; McCaffrey M.; Doe S.S.P.; Lenferna A.; Morán N.; van Vuuren D.P.; Schellnhuber H.J.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0027-8424
起始页码	2354
结束页码	2365
卷号	117 期号:5
英文摘要	Safely achieving the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement requires a worldwide transformation to carbon-neutral societies within the next 30 y. Accelerated technological progress and policy implementations are required to deliver emissions reductions at rates sufficiently fast to avoid crossing dangerous tipping points in the Earth’s climate system. Here, we discuss and evaluate the potential of social tipping interventions (STIs) that can activate contagious processes of rapidly spreading technologies, behaviors, social norms, and structural reorganization within their functional domains that we refer to as social tipping elements (STEs). STEs are subdomains of the planetary socioeconomic system where the required disruptive change may take place and lead to a sufficiently fast reduction in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The results are based on online expert elicitation, a subsequent expert workshop, and a literature review. The STIs that could trigger the tipping of STE subsystems include 1) removing fossil-fuel subsidies and incentivizing decentralized energy generation (STE1, energy production and storage systems), 2) building carbon-neutral cities (STE2, human settlements), 3) divesting from assets linked to fossil fuels (STE3, financial markets), 4) revealing the moral implications of fossil fuels (STE4, norms and value systems), 5) strengthening climate education and engagement (STE5, education system), and 6) disclosing information on greenhouse gas emissions (STE6, information feedbacks). Our research reveals important areas of focus for larger-scale empirical and modeling efforts to better understand the potentials of harnessing social tipping dynamics for climate change mitigation. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Climate change; Decarbonization; Paris Agreement; Social tipping elements; Social tipping interventions
语种	英语
scopus关键词	fuel; Article; carbon footprint; climate change; climate resilience; community dynamics; energy yield; environmental sustainability; geology; human; population growth; priority journal; social norm; socioeconomics
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/161064
作者单位	Otto, I.M., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany; Donges, J.F., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 11419, Sweden; Cremades, R., Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, 20095, Germany; Bhowmik, A., Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 11419, Sweden, Risk and Environmental Studies, Karlstad University, Karlstad, SE 651 88, Sweden; Hewitt, R.J., Information and Computational Sciences Group, James Hutton Institute, Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen, AB15 8QH, United Kingdom, Observatorio para una Cultura del Territorio, Madrid, 28012, Spain; Lucht, W., Earth System Analysis, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany, Department of Geography, Humboldt University, Berlin, 10099,...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Otto I.M.,Donges J.F.,Cremades R.,等. Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050[J],2020,117(5).
APA	Otto I.M..,Donges J.F..,Cremades R..,Bhowmik A..,Hewitt R.J..,...&Schellnhuber H.J..(2020).Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,117(5).
MLA	Otto I.M.,et al."Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 117.5(2020).