气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions

CCPortal

DOI	10.1073/PNAS.2007117117
	RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions
	Schwalm C.R.; Glendon S.; Duffy P.B.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0027-8424
起始页码	19656
结束页码	19657
卷号	117 期号:33
英文摘要	Climate simulation-based scenarios are routinely used to characterize a range of plausible climate futures. Despite some recent progress on bending the emissions curve, RCP8.5, the most aggressive scenario in assumed fossil fuel use for global climate models, will continue to serve as a useful tool for quantifying physical climate risk, especially over near- to midterm policy-relevant time horizons. Not only are the emissions consistent with RCP8.5 in close agreement with historical total cumulative CO2 emissions (within 1%), but RCP8.5 is also the best match out to midcentury under current and stated policies with still highly plausible levels of CO2 emissions in 2100. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
语种	英语
scopus关键词	fossil fuel; Article; carbon footprint; climate change; degradation; environmental policy; global climate; greenhouse effect; priority journal; radiative forcing; representative concentration pathway; risk assessment; risk factor; simulation
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/160859
作者单位	Schwalm, C.R., Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02540, United States; Glendon, S., Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02540, United States; Duffy, P.B., Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02540, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Schwalm C.R.,Glendon S.,Duffy P.B.. RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions[J],2020,117(33).
APA	Schwalm C.R.,Glendon S.,&Duffy P.B..(2020).RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,117(33).
MLA	Schwalm C.R.,et al."RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO2 emissions".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 117.33(2020).