气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves

CCPortal

DOI	10.1073/pnas.2012002117
	Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves
	Li R.; Chen B.; Zhang T.; Ren Z.; Song Y.; Xiao Y.; Hou L.; Cai J.; Xu B.; Li M.; Chan K.K.Y.; Tu Y.; Yang M.; Yang J.; Liu Z.; Shen C.; Wang C.; Xu L.; Liu Q.; Bao S.; Zhang J.; Bi Y.; Bai Y.; Deng K.; Zhang W.; Huang W.; Whittington J.D.; Stenseth N.C.; Guan D.; Gong P.; Xu B.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0027-8424
起始页码	26151
结束页码	26157
卷号	117 期号:42
英文摘要	Emerging evidence suggests a resurgence of COVID-19 in the coming years. It is thus critical to optimize emergency response planning from a broad, integrated perspective. We developed a mathematical model incorporating climate-driven variation in community transmissions and movement-modulated spatial diffusions of COVID-19 into various intervention scenarios. We find that an intensive 8-wk intervention targeting the reduction of local transmissibility and international travel is efficient and effective. Practically, we suggest a tiered implementation of this strategy where interventions are first implemented at locations in what we call the Global Intervention Hub, followed by timely interventions in secondary high-risk locations. We argue that thinking globally, categorizing locations in a hub-and-spoke intervention network, and acting locally, applying interventions at high-risk areas, is a functional strategy to avert the tremendous burden that would otherwise be placed on public health and society. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Climate; Disease transmission; Hierarchical intervention network; Human behavior; International collaboration
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Article; climate change; coronavirus disease 2019; high risk population; human; major clinical study; mathematical model; pandemic; population density; priority journal; public health; virus transmission; Betacoronavirus; climate; communicable disease; communicable disease control; Coronavirus infection; disease transmission; forecasting; global health; international cooperation; pandemic; prevention and control; procedures; theoretical model; travel; virus pneumonia; Betacoronavirus; Climate; Communicable Disease Control; Communicable Diseases, Emerging; Coronavirus Infections; Disease Transmission, Infectious; Forecasting; Global Health; Humans; International Cooperation; Models, Theoretical; Pandemics; Pneumonia, Viral; Travel
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/160756
作者单位	Li, R., Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China, Tsinghua Urban Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China, Center for Healthy Cities, Institute for China Sustainable Urbanization, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG, United Kingdom; Chen, B., Department of Land, Air, and Water Resources, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, United States; Zhang, T., Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China, Tsinghua Urban Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China, Center for Healthy Cities, Institute for China Sustainable Urbanization, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Ren, Z., Ministry...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li R.,Chen B.,Zhang T.,et al. Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves[J],2020,117(42).
APA	Li R..,Chen B..,Zhang T..,Ren Z..,Song Y..,...&Xu B..(2020).Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,117(42).
MLA	Li R.,et al."Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 117.42(2020).