气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Government effectiveness and institutions as determinants of tropical cyclone mortality

CCPortal

DOI	10.1073/pnas.2006213117
	Government effectiveness and institutions as determinants of tropical cyclone mortality
	Tennant E.; Gilmore E.A.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0027-8424
起始页码	28692
结束页码	28699
卷号	117 期号:46
英文摘要	Strong institutions as well as economic development are generally understood to play critical roles in protecting societies from the adverse impacts of natural hazards, such as tropical cyclones. The independent effect of institutions on reducing these risks, however, has not been confirmed empirically in previous global studies. As a storm’s path and intensity influence the severity of the damages and may be spatially correlated with human vulnerabilities, failing to accurately capture physical exposure in an econometric analysis may result in imprecise and biased estimates of the influence of the independent variables. Here, we develop an approach to control for physical exposure by spatially interacting meteorological and socioeconomic data for over 1,000 tropical cyclone disasters from 1979 to 2016. We find evidence that higher levels of national government effectiveness are associated with lower tropical cyclone mortality, even when controlling for average income and other socioeconomic conditions. Within countries, deaths are higher when strong winds are concentrated over areas of the country with elevated infant mortality rates, an indicator of institutional effectiveness through public service delivery. These results suggest that policies and programs to enhance institutional capacity and governance can support risk reduction from extreme weather events. © 2020 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Tropical cyclones \| disasters \| institutions \| vulnerability
语种	英语
scopus关键词	article; controlled study; disaster; extreme weather; government; health care delivery; human; hurricane; infant mortality; risk reduction
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/160718
作者单位	Tennant, E., Department of Economics, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, United States; Gilmore, E.A., Department of International Development, Community and Environment, ClarkUniversity, Worcester, MA 01610, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tennant E.,Gilmore E.A.. Government effectiveness and institutions as determinants of tropical cyclone mortality[J],2020,117(46).
APA	Tennant E.,&Gilmore E.A..(2020).Government effectiveness and institutions as determinants of tropical cyclone mortality.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,117(46).
MLA	Tennant E.,et al."Government effectiveness and institutions as determinants of tropical cyclone mortality".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 117.46(2020).