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DOI | 10.5194/hess-22-4155-2018 |
Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017 | |
Gerken T.; Bromley G.T.; Ruddell B.L.; Williams S.; Stoy P.C. | |
发表日期 | 2018 |
ISSN | 1027-5606 |
起始页码 | 4155 |
结束页码 | 4163 |
卷号 | 22期号:8 |
英文摘要 | Flash droughts tend to be disproportionately destructive because they intensify rapidly and are difficult to prepare for. We demonstrate that the 2017 US Northern Great Plains (NGP) flash drought was preceded by a breakdown of land-atmosphere coupling. Severe drought conditions in the NGP were first identified by drought monitors in late May 2017 and rapidly progressed to exceptional drought in July. The likelihood of convective precipitation in May 2017 in northeastern Montana, however, resembled that of a typical August when rain is unlikely. Based on the lower tropospheric humidity index (HIlow), convective rain was suppressed by the atmosphere on nearly 50% of days during March in NE Montana and central North Dakota, compared to 30% during a normal year. Micrometeorological variables, including potential evapotranspiration (ETp), were neither anomalously high nor low before the onset of drought. Incorporating convective likelihood to drought forecasts would have noted that convective precipitation in the NGP was anomalously unlikely during the early growing season of 2017. It may therefore be useful to do so in regions that rely on convective precipitation. © 2018 Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Landforms; Rain; Weather forecasting; Convective precipitation; Convective rain; Drought conditions; Growing season; Land-atmosphere couplings; Northern great plains; Potential evapotranspiration; Tropospheric humidity; Drought; atmospheric convection; drought; humidity; land-atmosphere interaction; micrometeorology; potential evapotranspiration; precipitation (climatology); troposphere; Great Plains; Montana; North Dakota; United States |
来源期刊 | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/159952 |
作者单位 | Gerken, T., Department of Land Resources and Environmental Sciences, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717, United States, School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, United States; Bromley, G.T., Department of Land Resources and Environmental Sciences, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717, United States; Ruddell, B.L., School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, United States; Williams, S., Department of Land Resources and Environmental Sciences, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717, United States; Stoy, P.C., Department of Land Resources and Environmental Sciences, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gerken T.,Bromley G.T.,Ruddell B.L.,et al. Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017[J],2018,22(8). |
APA | Gerken T.,Bromley G.T.,Ruddell B.L.,Williams S.,&Stoy P.C..(2018).Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,22(8). |
MLA | Gerken T.,et al."Convective suppression before and during the United States Northern Great Plains flash drought of 2017".Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 22.8(2018). |
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